Football · Belgium Super League Women · 12/09, 13:30

Prediction: Genk (W) vs OH Leuven (W)

Team pages: Genk (W) · OH Leuven (W)

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Genk (W)0.69
OH Leuven (W)2.48
1X2
7% 17% 75%
Genk (W) Draw OH Leuven (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
0-2 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Genk (W) 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWDDWDWWLL
OH Leuven (W) 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WWWDWDDWWW
Head-to-head
Genk (W) 0–1–5 OH Leuven (W) (6 last)
  • OH Leuven (W)4-1Genk (W)
  • Genk (W)0-3OH Leuven (W)
  • OH Leuven (W)1-1Genk (W)
  • OH Leuven (W)3-0Genk (W)
  • Genk (W)1-4OH Leuven (W)
  • OH Leuven (W)3-0Genk (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Genk (W) 1481 · OH Leuven (W) 1629
Genk (W)DrawOH Leuven (W)
Our model8%17%76%
Market7%18%75%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours OH Leuven (W) (rating 1481 vs 1629).
  • H2H favours OH Leuven (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Genk (W)OH Leuven (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 1.52.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.61.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.31.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 02.4 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Genk (W) 015 OH Leuven (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/01/26
Belgium Super League Women
OH Leuven (W)4-1
HT 1-1
Genk (W)
08/11/25
Belgium Super League Women
Genk (W)0-3
HT 0-2
OH Leuven (W)
06/09/25
Belgium Super League Women
OH Leuven (W)1-1
HT 1-1
Genk (W)
15/03/25
Belgium Super League Women
OH Leuven (W)3-0
HT 0-0
Genk (W)
24/01/25
Belgium Super League Women
Genk (W)1-4
HT 1-1
OH Leuven (W)
14/09/24
Belgium Super League Women
OH Leuven (W)3-0
HT 1-0
Genk (W)

Standings · Belgium Super League Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 OH Leuven (W) 110 613
2 Anderlecht (W) 110 403
3 Club Brugge (W) 110 313
4 RAAL La Louviere (W) 110 103
5 Zulte-Waregem (W) 101 010
6 Standard Liege (W) 101 130
7 Genk (W) 101 040
8 Gent (W) 101 160

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGenk (W)OH Leuven (W)
Anderlecht (W) 0-4 L 1-1 D
Gent (W) 2-0 W 6-1 W
Westerlo (W) 3-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: OH Leuven (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genk (W)

DWDDWDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Anderlecht (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-1 0-4 23 L
22/05 Zulte-Waregem (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-1 1-2 24 L
16/05 Gent (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 2-0 60 W
09/05 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 3-0 70 W
06/05 Zulte-Waregem (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 0-0 12 D
01/05 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 2-0 22 W
24/04 Gent (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-1 2-2 40 D
21/03 Zulte-Waregem (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-1 3-3 52 D
13/03 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 4-2 72 W
22/02 Gent (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-2 2-2 71 D

OH Leuven (W)

WWWDWDDWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Gent (W)
Belgium Super League Women
3-1 6-1 91 W
22/05 Standard Liege (W)
Belgium Super League Women
2-1 3-2 21 W
16/05 Club Brugge (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 2-0 44 W
09/05 Anderlecht (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 1-1 53 D
02/05 Anderlecht (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 1-1 33 D
25/04 Club Brugge (W)
Belgium Super League Women
2-0 2-1 31 W
04/04 Standard Liege (W)
Belgium Super League Women
0-0 1-1 37 D
21/03 Anderlecht (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 1-0 27 W
17/03 Westerlo (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-0 2-0 41 W
14/03 Club Brugge (W)
Belgium Super League Women
1-1 2-1 21 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genk (W) vs OH Leuven (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an OH Leuven (W) win (75%). Probabilities: Genk (W) 7%, draw 17%, OH Leuven (W) 75%.

How many goals are expected in Genk (W) vs OH Leuven (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Genk (W) 0.69 · OH Leuven (W) 2.48), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Genk (W) vs OH Leuven (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.