Prediction: ESPA vs EPS Reservi
Team pages: ESPA · EPS Reservi
- EPS Reservi2-4ESPA
- ESPA2-0EPS Reservi
- EPS Reservi5-4ESPA
- ESPA5-0EPS Reservi
- EPS Reservi5-0ESPA
- ESPA1-6EPS Reservi
| ESPA | Draw | EPS Reservi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| Market | 80% | 11% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ESPA (rating 1558 vs 1431).
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ESPA | EPS Reservi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/50/13% | 11/22/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.5 | 1.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ESPA 3–0–3 EPS Reservi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/26 Finland Kolmonen | EPS Reservi | 2-4 | ESPA |
| 26/07/24 Finland Kolmonen | ESPA | 2-0 HT 1-0 | EPS Reservi |
| 21/04/24 Finland Kolmonen | EPS Reservi | 5-4 HT 3-2 | ESPA |
| 18/08/23 Finland Kolmonen | ESPA | 5-0 HT 2-0 | EPS Reservi |
| 03/09/22 Finland Kolmonen | EPS Reservi | 5-0 HT 3-0 | ESPA |
| 28/05/22 Finland Kolmonen | ESPA | 1-6 HT 0-1 | EPS Reservi |
Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EIF Academy | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 61 | 24 | 40 |
| 2 | ESPA | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 42 | 18 | 39 |
| 3 | LePa | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 29 | 36 |
| 4 | Poxyt | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 29 |
| 5 | NuPS | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 26 |
| 6 | Gilla FC | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 38 | 24 |
| 7 | LoPa | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 31 | 24 |
| 8 | GrIFK Reservi | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 33 | 38 | 23 |
| 9 | PPJ/Ruoholahti | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 45 | 18 |
| 10 | MPS | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 16 |
| 11 | HooGee | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 48 | 16 |
| 12 | EPS Reservi | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 50 | 14 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | ESPA | EPS Reservi |
|---|---|---|
| Poxyt | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| EIF Academy | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Gilla FC | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| NuPS | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| PPJ/Ruoholahti | 1-0 W | 1-5 L |
| LoPa | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| LePa | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| GrIFK Reservi | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| HooGee | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: ESPA (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ESPA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/08 | MPS Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/08 | Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
EPS Reservi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | NuPS Finland Kolmonen |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/08 | Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 20/08 | HooGee Finland Kolmonen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Poxyt Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 06/08 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 31/07 | LoPa Finland Kolmonen |
0-4 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/07 | PPJ/Ruoholahti Finland Kolmonen |
1-1 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/06 | LePa Finland Kolmonen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/06 | EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen |
2-3 | 2-9 | 0 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ESPA vs EPS Reservi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ESPA win (78%). Probabilities: ESPA 78%, draw 13%, EPS Reservi 9%.
How many goals are expected in ESPA vs EPS Reservi?
The model expects 3.97 goals (ESPA 2.98 · EPS Reservi 0.98), with a 55% chance of under 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in ESPA vs EPS Reservi?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.