Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 17/07, 20:15
Prediction: NK Celje vs NS Mura
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
NK Celje2.2
NS Mura1.12
1X2
NK Celje
Draw
NS Mura
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Celje
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
NS Mura
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Celje
4–1–1
NS Mura
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Celje (rating 1538 vs 1431).
- H2H favours NK Celje: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Celje | NS Mura | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Celje 4–1–1 NS Mura
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 0-2 HT 0-2 | NK Celje |
| 14/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 5-1 HT 2-1 | NS Mura |
| 26/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 2-1 HT 1-1 | NK Celje |
| 10/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 3-0 HT 1-0 | NS Mura |
| 13/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Celje | 2-1 HT 0-1 | NS Mura |
| 16/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Celje |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Aluminij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Bravo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Koper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NS Mura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Nafta 1903 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Celje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Maribor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Radomlje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Celje | NS Mura |
|---|---|---|
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Koper | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| NK Bravo | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| NK Aluminij | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Celje (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Celje
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | MTK Budapest Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Cukaricki Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/07 | Hajduk Split Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Shkendija Tetovo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
4-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 19/04 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 15/04 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
NS Mura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | ND Beltinci Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | SK Sturm Graz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/04 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Celje vs NS Mura?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Celje win (61%). Probabilities: NK Celje 61%, draw 22%, NS Mura 18%.
How many goals are expected in NK Celje vs NS Mura?
The model expects 3.33 goals (NK Celje 2.2 · NS Mura 1.12), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Celje vs NS Mura?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.