Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 19/07, 18:00
Prediction: NK Aluminij vs NK Maribor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
NK Aluminij1.57
NK Maribor1.3
1X2
NK Aluminij
Draw
NK Maribor
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Aluminij
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
NK Maribor
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Aluminij
1–1–4
NK Maribor
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours NK Maribor: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Aluminij | NK Maribor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 22/33/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.7 | 3.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 5.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Aluminij 1–1–4 NK Maribor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Maribor | 3-0 HT 1-0 | NK Aluminij |
| 20/03/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 1-1 HT 0-0 | NK Maribor |
| 06/12/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Maribor | 2-3 HT 2-0 | NK Aluminij |
| 19/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Aluminij | 2-3 HT 1-2 | NK Maribor |
| 05/07/25 Europe Friendlies | NK Aluminij | 1-2 HT 0-1 | NK Maribor |
| 04/03/25 Slovenia Cup | NK Maribor | 2-0 HT 0-0 | NK Aluminij |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Aluminij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Bravo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Koper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NS Mura | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Nafta 1903 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Celje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Maribor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | NK Radomlje | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NK Aluminij | NK Maribor |
|---|---|---|
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Koper | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| NK Celje | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: NK Maribor (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Aluminij
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | FC Noah Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 23/06 | Pyunik Yerevan Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 19/06 | NK Race Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
NK Maribor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Charlton Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/07 | CSKA 1948 Sofia Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 04/04 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Aluminij vs NK Maribor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Aluminij win (43%). Probabilities: NK Aluminij 43%, draw 27%, NK Maribor 30%.
How many goals are expected in NK Aluminij vs NK Maribor?
The model expects 2.87 goals (NK Aluminij 1.57 · NK Maribor 1.3), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Aluminij vs NK Maribor?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.