Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 25/07, 18:00
Prediction: NS Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
NS Mura1.25
Olimpija Ljubljana1.21
1X2
NS Mura
Draw
Olimpija Ljubljana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NS Mura
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Olimpija Ljubljana
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NS Mura
0–2–4
Olimpija Ljubljana
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpija Ljubljana (rating 1421 vs 1470).
- H2H favours Olimpija Ljubljana: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NS Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/0/70% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.3 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NS Mura 0–2–4 Olimpija Ljubljana
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 31/01/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-0 HT 1-0 | NS Mura |
| 28/09/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 19/07/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NS Mura |
| 10/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Olimpija Ljubljana |
| 12/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | Olimpija Ljubljana | 2-1 HT 1-0 | NS Mura |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Bravo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | FC Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | NS Mura | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | NK Aluminij | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | NK Maribor | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | NK Nafta 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | NK Radomlje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NS Mura | Olimpija Ljubljana |
|---|---|---|
| NK Radomlje | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| NK Primorje Ajdovscina | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| FC Koper | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| NK Bravo | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Olimpija Ljubljana (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NS Mura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | ND Beltinci Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | SK Sturm Graz Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/04 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
Olimpija Ljubljana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | NK Rudes Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | CFR Cluj Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | FK Cukaricki Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Vllaznia Shkoder Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NS Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NS Mura win (36%). Probabilities: NS Mura 36%, draw 30%, Olimpija Ljubljana 34%.
How many goals are expected in NS Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
The model expects 2.46 goals (NS Mura 1.25 · Olimpija Ljubljana 1.21), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NS Mura vs Olimpija Ljubljana?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.