Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 26/07, 18:00
Prediction: NK Bravo vs NK Nafta 1903
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
NK Bravo1.8
NK Nafta 19031
1X2
NK Bravo
Draw
NK Nafta 1903
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
NK Bravo
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
NK Nafta 1903
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NK Bravo
4–2–0
NK Nafta 1903
(6 last)
- NK Bravo2-0NK Nafta 1903
- NK Nafta 19030-1NK Bravo
- NK Nafta 19031-1NK Bravo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · NK Bravo 1525 · NK Nafta 1903 1442
| NK Bravo | Draw | NK Nafta 1903 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 23% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Bravo (rating 1525 vs 1442).
- H2H favours NK Bravo: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NK Bravo | NK Nafta 1903 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Bravo 4–2–0 NK Nafta 1903
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Slovenia Cup | NK Bravo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NK Nafta 1903 |
| 02/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Nafta 1903 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | NK Bravo |
| 02/04/25 Slovenia Cup | NK Nafta 1903 | 1-1 HT 1-0 | NK Bravo |
| 08/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Bravo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | NK Nafta 1903 |
| 09/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Nafta 1903 | 0-1 HT 0-1 | NK Bravo |
| 26/08/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Bravo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | NK Nafta 1903 |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Bravo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | FC Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | NS Mura | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 6 | NK Aluminij | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | NK Maribor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | NK Nafta 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | NK Radomlje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NK Bravo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Shkendija Tetovo UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Karpaty Lviv Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 04/07 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | HNK Rijeka Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 02/05 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | NK Aluminij Slovenia Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
NK Nafta 1903
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/07 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Budapest Honved Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | FC Voluntari Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | NK Primorje Ajdovscina Slovenia Prva Liga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | NK Triglav Kranj Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | ND Beltinci Slovenia 2. SNL |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | NK Bilje Slovenia 2. SNL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NK Bravo vs NK Nafta 1903?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Bravo win (56%). Probabilities: NK Bravo 56%, draw 24%, NK Nafta 1903 20%.
How many goals are expected in NK Bravo vs NK Nafta 1903?
The model expects 2.8 goals (NK Bravo 1.8 · NK Nafta 1903 1), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NK Bravo vs NK Nafta 1903?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.