Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: NK Radomlje vs FC Koper

Team pages: NK Radomlje · FC Koper

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

NK Radomlje1.02

FC Koper1.77

1X2

21% 25% 54%

NK Radomlje Draw FC Koper

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Radomlje 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLDLLL

FC Koper 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

NK Radomlje 1–3–2 FC Koper (6 last)

FC Koper2-2NK Radomlje
NK Radomlje0-3FC Koper
FC Koper2-2NK Radomlje
NK Radomlje1-1FC Koper
FC Koper1-2NK Radomlje
FC Koper3-1NK Radomlje

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Radomlje 1447 · FC Koper 1553

	NK Radomlje	Draw	FC Koper
Our model	21%	26%	54%
Market	21%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Koper (rating 1447 vs 1553).
H2H favours FC Koper: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Radomlje	FC Koper
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2	1.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.20

X3.75

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 3.78
2	1.65 → 1.65	Pinn 1.77 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +7’	4.20	3.75	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:21 +521’	4.13	3.78	1.77

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Radomlje 1–3–2 FC Koper

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	2-2 HT 0-2	NK Radomlje
18/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Radomlje	0-3 HT 0-2	FC Koper
15/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	2-2 HT 1-0	NK Radomlje
25/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Radomlje	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Koper
09/08/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	1-2 HT 0-2	NK Radomlje
05/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	FC Koper	3-1 HT 1-0	NK Radomlje

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Maribor	10	5	5	0	19	8	20
2	FC Koper	10	5	3	2	11	8	18
3	NK Bravo	10	5	3	2	12	10	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10	8	14
5	Aluminij Kidricevo	10	3	4	3	16	11	13
6	NK Nafta 1903	10	4	1	5	17	16	13
7	NK Celje	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
8	NK Brinje Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14	18	11
9	NS Mura	10	2	3	5	10	21	9
10	NK Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9	18	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Radomlje	FC Koper
NK Brinje Grosuplje	1-2 L	1-1 D
NK Maribor	0-3 L	0-2 L
NK Nafta 1903	1-3 L	2-0 W
Olimpija Ljubljana	0-0 D	1-3 L
NS Mura	3-1 W	1-0 W
NK Bravo	1-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Koper (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Radomlje

WLDLWLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-2	2	4	L
13/09	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
04/09	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-3	5	3	L
29/08	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
16/08	NK Aluminij Slovenia Prva Liga	1-3	1-3	6	8	L
10/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	3-1	0	4	W
02/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-2	8	4	L
26/07	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
18/07	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
22/05	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	2-1	3-2	3	4	W

FC Koper

WDDLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-3	4	8	L
06/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
28/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
22/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
16/08	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
02/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
26/07	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
17/07	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Radomlje vs FC Koper?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Koper win (54%). Probabilities: NK Radomlje 21%, draw 25%, FC Koper 54%.

How many goals are expected in NK Radomlje vs FC Koper?

The model expects 2.8 goals (NK Radomlje 1.02 · FC Koper 1.77), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Radomlje vs FC Koper?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.