Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 16/10, 17:30

Prediction: Aluminij Kidricevo vs Olimpija Ljubljana

Team pages: Aluminij Kidricevo · Olimpija Ljubljana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.49Total

Aluminij Kidricevo1.26

Olimpija Ljubljana1.24

1X2

36% 30% 35%

Aluminij Kidricevo Draw Olimpija Ljubljana

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Aluminij Kidricevo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Olimpija Ljubljana 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDWWLD

Head-to-head

Aluminij Kidricevo 0–1–5 Olimpija Ljubljana (6 last)

Olimpija Ljubljana1-0Aluminij Kidricevo
Olimpija Ljubljana2-1Aluminij Kidricevo
Aluminij Kidricevo1-2Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana1-1Aluminij Kidricevo
Aluminij Kidricevo0-3Olimpija Ljubljana
Olimpija Ljubljana5-0Aluminij Kidricevo

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Olimpija Ljubljana (rating 1482 vs 1534).
H2H favours Olimpija Ljubljana: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Aluminij Kidricevo	Olimpija Ljubljana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.3 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	2.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	5.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.06 → 4.06	Pinn 4.06
X	3.55 → 3.55	Pinn 3.55
2	1.85 → 1.85	Pinn 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:32 +33’	4.06	3.55	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Aluminij Kidricevo 0–1–5 Olimpija Ljubljana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-0 HT 0-0	Aluminij Kidricevo
11/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	2-1 HT 0-0	Aluminij Kidricevo
05/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	Aluminij Kidricevo	1-2 HT 1-2	Olimpija Ljubljana
03/10/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	1-1 HT 1-1	Aluminij Kidricevo
26/07/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	Aluminij Kidricevo	0-3 HT 0-3	Olimpija Ljubljana
20/04/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	Olimpija Ljubljana	5-0 HT 1-0	Aluminij Kidricevo

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Maribor	10	5	5	0	19	8	20
2	FC Koper	11	5	4	2	14	11	19
3	NK Bravo	10	5	3	2	12	10	18
4	NK Celje	10	4	3	3	12	11	15
5	Olimpija Ljubljana	11	4	3	4	13	11	15
6	Aluminij Kidricevo	11	3	4	4	16	12	13
7	NK Nafta 1903	10	4	1	5	17	16	13
8	NK Brinje Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14	18	11
9	NS Mura	11	2	4	5	13	24	10
10	NK Radomlje	10	1	3	6	12	21	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Aluminij Kidricevo	Olimpija Ljubljana
NK Celje	0-1 L	0-1 L
NK Maribor	2-2 D	1-1 D
NS Mura	6-1 W	3-3 D
NK Bravo	0-0 D	1-2 L
FC Koper	0-1 L	3-1 W
NK Brinje Grosuplje	4-2 W	3-0 W
NK Radomlje	3-1 W	0-0 D
NK Nafta 1903	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aluminij Kidricevo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
19/09	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-2	9	2	D
13/09	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	3-0	6-1	4	6	W
05/09	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
02/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
28/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
21/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-2	4-2	4	3	W
16/08	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	3-1	3-1	3	8	W
09/08	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
02/08	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	1	3	L

Olimpija Ljubljana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	3-3	7	5	D
20/09	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	1-2	6	11	L
12/09	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	3-1	3	8	W
05/09	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	4	5	W
29/08	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
21/08	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
15/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	4	7	D
08/08	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	2	2	L
02/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
25/07	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aluminij Kidricevo vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Aluminij Kidricevo win (36%). Probabilities: Aluminij Kidricevo 36%, draw 30%, Olimpija Ljubljana 35%.

How many goals are expected in Aluminij Kidricevo vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

The model expects 2.49 goals (Aluminij Kidricevo 1.26 · Olimpija Ljubljana 1.24), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Aluminij Kidricevo vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.