Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 17/10, 17:30
Prediction: NS Mura vs NK Nafta 1903
Team pages: NS Mura · NK Nafta 1903
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
NS Mura1.54
NK Nafta 19031.77
1X2
NS Mura
Draw
NK Nafta 1903
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
NS Mura
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
NK Nafta 1903
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
NS Mura
1–2–3
NK Nafta 1903
(6 last)
- NK Nafta 19035-2NS Mura
- NS Mura1-2NK Nafta 1903
- NK Nafta 19034-2NS Mura
- NS Mura0-0NK Nafta 1903
- NK Nafta 19030-0NS Mura
- NS Mura1-0NK Nafta 1903
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NK Nafta 1903 (rating 1434 vs 1524).
- H2H favours NK Nafta 1903: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NS Mura | NK Nafta 1903 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NS Mura 1–2–3 NK Nafta 1903
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Nafta 1903 | 5-2 HT 2-1 | NS Mura |
| 03/12/25 Slovenia Cup | NS Mura | 1-2 HT 1-1 | NK Nafta 1903 |
| 05/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Nafta 1903 | 4-2 HT 1-1 | NS Mura |
| 02/02/25 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NK Nafta 1903 |
| 28/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | NK Nafta 1903 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | NS Mura |
| 20/07/24 Slovenia Prva Liga | NS Mura | 1-0 HT 0-0 | NK Nafta 1903 |
Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NK Maribor | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 20 |
| 2 | FC Koper | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Bravo | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Celje | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| 5 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Aluminij Kidricevo | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 7 | NK Nafta 1903 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 8 | NK Brinje Grosuplje | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 9 | NS Mura | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 10 | NK Radomlje | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 6 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NS Mura | NK Nafta 1903 |
|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| NK Celje | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Aluminij Kidricevo | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| NK Maribor | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| NK Bravo | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Koper | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| NK Brinje Grosuplje | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| NK Radomlje | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: NS Mura (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NS Mura
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-3 | 1-6 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/08 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
NK Nafta 1903
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/09 | NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 15/08 | NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NS Mura vs NK Nafta 1903?
According to our model, the most likely result is an NK Nafta 1903 win (42%). Probabilities: NS Mura 33%, draw 25%, NK Nafta 1903 42%.
How many goals are expected in NS Mura vs NK Nafta 1903?
The model expects 3.31 goals (NS Mura 1.54 · NK Nafta 1903 1.77), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in NS Mura vs NK Nafta 1903?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.