Football · Slovenia Prva Liga · 10/10, 18:00

Prediction: NK Nafta 1903 vs NK Bravo

Team pages: NK Nafta 1903 · NK Bravo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

NK Nafta 19031.55

NK Bravo1.51

1X2

38% 26% 36%

NK Nafta 1903 Draw NK Bravo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

NK Nafta 1903 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLLWWL

NK Bravo 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLWDWW

Head-to-head

NK Nafta 1903 1–2–3 NK Bravo (6 last)

NK Bravo0-3NK Nafta 1903
NK Bravo2-0NK Nafta 1903
NK Nafta 19030-1NK Bravo
NK Nafta 19031-1NK Bravo
NK Bravo1-1NK Nafta 1903
NK Nafta 19030-1NK Bravo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NK Nafta 1903 1511 · NK Bravo 1533

	NK Nafta 1903	Draw	NK Bravo
Our model	38%	26%	36%
Market	38%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NK Bravo: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NK Nafta 1903	NK Bravo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	1.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 3.6	1.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.40

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.44
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.55
2	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.67 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
02:57 +5’	2.40	3.40	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:35 +2487’	2.44	3.55	2.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · NK Nafta 1903 1–2–3 NK Bravo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	0-3 HT 0-1	NK Nafta 1903
12/03/26 Slovenia Cup	NK Bravo	2-0 HT 1-0	NK Nafta 1903
02/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Nafta 1903	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Bravo
02/04/25 Slovenia Cup	NK Nafta 1903	1-1 HT 1-0	NK Bravo
08/03/25 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Bravo	1-1 HT 0-1	NK Nafta 1903
09/11/24 Slovenia Prva Liga	NK Nafta 1903	0-1 HT 0-1	NK Bravo

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	NK Maribor	10	5	5	0	19	8	20
2	FC Koper	10	5	3	2	11	8	18
3	NK Bravo	10	5	3	2	12	10	18
4	Olimpija Ljubljana	10	4	2	4	10	8	14
5	Aluminij Kidricevo	10	3	4	3	16	11	13
6	NK Nafta 1903	10	4	1	5	17	16	13
7	NK Celje	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
8	NK Brinje Grosuplje	10	3	2	5	14	18	11
9	NS Mura	10	2	3	5	10	21	9
10	NK Radomlje	9	1	2	6	9	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NK Nafta 1903	NK Bravo
FC Koper	0-2 L	0-0 D
NK Brinje Grosuplje	2-1 W	1-1 D
NK Radomlje	3-1 W	2-1 W
NK Maribor	2-3 L	1-3 L
Olimpija Ljubljana	0-1 L	2-1 W
NK Celje	1-3 L	2-1 W
Aluminij Kidricevo	1-1 D	0-0 D
NS Mura	5-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: NK Nafta 1903 (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NK Nafta 1903

LWWDLLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
11/09	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	2-1	5	3	W
04/09	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	3-1	5	3	W
30/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-2	2-3	1	5	L
21/08	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
15/08	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-2	1-3	4	3	L
09/08	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	3	3	D
01/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	2-1	5-2	0	3	W
26/07	NK Bravo Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
17/07	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-2	6	3	L

NK Bravo

WLWDDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	1-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/09	NK Celje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	2	3	W
05/09	Aluminij Kidricevo Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
29/08	NS Mura Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/08	NK Maribor Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	1-3	1	4	L
16/08	FC Koper Slovenia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
09/08	NK Brinje Grosuplje Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
02/08	NK Radomlje Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
26/07	NK Nafta 1903 Slovenia Prva Liga	0-1	0-3	10	5	L
18/07	Olimpija Ljubljana Slovenia Prva Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NK Nafta 1903 vs NK Bravo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NK Nafta 1903 win (38%). Probabilities: NK Nafta 1903 38%, draw 26%, NK Bravo 36%.

How many goals are expected in NK Nafta 1903 vs NK Bravo?

The model expects 3.06 goals (NK Nafta 1903 1.55 · NK Bravo 1.51), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in NK Nafta 1903 vs NK Bravo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.