Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 23/10, 15:00
Prediction: Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula
Team pages: Hapoel Kfar Saba · Hapoel Afula
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.61Total
Hapoel Kfar Saba1.83
Hapoel Afula1.78
1X2
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Draw
Hapoel Afula
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Kfar Saba
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Afula
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Kfar Saba
3–3–0
Hapoel Afula
(6 last)
- Hapoel Kfar Saba3-1Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Kfar Saba3-3Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula1-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
- Hapoel Kfar Saba3-2Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Kfar Saba2-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula1-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1473 · Hapoel Afula 1521
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | Draw | Hapoel Afula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Afula (rating 1473 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Saba: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | Hapoel Afula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 1.1 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 6.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Kfar Saba 3–3–0 Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Afula |
| 19/01/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Hapoel Afula |
| 14/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
| 31/07/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 13/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 05/09/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Kiryat Yam | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 19 |
| 6 | Hapoel Afula | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | Hapoel Raanana | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 16 |
| 8 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 13 |
| 10 | Ironi Modiin | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 11 |
| 11 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Maccabi Herzliya | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 9 |
| 14 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 9 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | 22 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 27 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Kfar Saba | Hapoel Afula |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| MS Ashdod | 2-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Raanana | 1-6 L | 3-2 W |
| Maccabi Herzliya | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ironi Modiin | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Afula (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Kfar Saba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 12/10 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/10 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Kfar Saba win (39%). Probabilities: Hapoel Kfar Saba 39%, draw 25%, Hapoel Afula 36%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?
The model expects 3.61 goals (Hapoel Kfar Saba 1.83 · Hapoel Afula 1.78), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.