Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 01/10, 18:00
Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Team pages: Hapoel Afula · Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Hapoel Afula1.47
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.72
1X2
Hapoel Afula
Draw
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula
1–1–4
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
(6 last)
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-1Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula0-3Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Afula0-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion2-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula2-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1512 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1534
| Hapoel Afula | Draw | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 43% |
| Market | 32% | 26% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Rishon Lezion: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 3.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.6 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 1–1–4 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/01/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 01/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 04/02/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 06/10/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 25/07/24 World Club Friendlies | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 26/04/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Raanana | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Afula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | SC Kiryat Yam | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Maccabi Herzliya | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
| 14 | Ironi Modiin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 5 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 3-3 D | 2-6 L |
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| MS Ashdod | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| SC Kfar Qasim | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Afula (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/09 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Rishon Lezion win (43%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 32%, draw 25%, Hapoel Rishon Lezion 43%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Hapoel Afula 1.47 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.72), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.