Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 01/10, 18:00
Prediction: SC Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba
Team pages: SC Kiryat Yam · Hapoel Kfar Saba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
SC Kiryat Yam2.35
Hapoel Kfar Saba1.27
1X2
SC Kiryat Yam
Draw
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
SC Kiryat Yam
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SC Kiryat Yam
3–1–0
Hapoel Kfar Saba
(4 last)
- Hapoel Kfar Saba1-1SC Kiryat Yam
- SC Kiryat Yam2-0Hapoel Kfar Saba
- SC Kiryat Yam2-1Hapoel Kfar Saba
- Hapoel Kfar Saba0-2SC Kiryat Yam
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SC Kiryat Yam 1535 · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1443
| SC Kiryat Yam | Draw | Hapoel Kfar Saba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 21% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 22% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Kiryat Yam (rating 1535 vs 1443).
- H2H favours SC Kiryat Yam: 3-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SC Kiryat Yam | Hapoel Kfar Saba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Kiryat Yam 3–1–0 Hapoel Kfar Saba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/26 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1-1 HT 1-0 | SC Kiryat Yam |
| 11/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga | SC Kiryat Yam | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
| 06/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga | SC Kiryat Yam | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
| 05/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 0-2 HT 0-1 | SC Kiryat Yam |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MS Ashdod | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Raanana | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Afula | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | SC Kiryat Yam | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Kfar Qasim | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| 11 | Maccabi Herzliya | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 12 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 6 |
| 14 | Ironi Modiin | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 5 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 22 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SC Kiryat Yam | Hapoel Kfar Saba |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Herzliya | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Ironi Modiin | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SC Kiryat Yam
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/09 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/09 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
3-1 | 6-2 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 25/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Hapoel Kfar Saba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/09 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/09 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-6 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 20/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SC Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Kiryat Yam win (60%). Probabilities: SC Kiryat Yam 60%, draw 21%, Hapoel Kfar Saba 18%.
How many goals are expected in SC Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
The model expects 3.62 goals (SC Kiryat Yam 2.35 · Hapoel Kfar Saba 1.27), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SC Kiryat Yam vs Hapoel Kfar Saba?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.