Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 01/10, 18:00

Prediction: Hapoel Raanana vs SC Kfar Qasim

Team pages: Hapoel Raanana · SC Kfar Qasim

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Hapoel Raanana1.75

SC Kfar Qasim1.4

1X2

45% 25% 30%

Hapoel Raanana Draw SC Kfar Qasim

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Raanana 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLWWLW

SC Kfar Qasim 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDLLWLDLWW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Raanana 2–4–0 SC Kfar Qasim (6 last)

Hapoel Raanana2-2SC Kfar Qasim
Hapoel Raanana1-1SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim0-2Hapoel Raanana
Hapoel Raanana1-1SC Kfar Qasim
SC Kfar Qasim1-1Hapoel Raanana
SC Kfar Qasim1-3Hapoel Raanana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Raanana 1571 · SC Kfar Qasim 1462

	Hapoel Raanana	Draw	SC Kfar Qasim
Our model	45%	25%	30%
Market	45%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Raanana (rating 1571 vs 1462).
H2H favours Hapoel Raanana: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Raanana	SC Kfar Qasim
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.4	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.8	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.6 / 0.8	4.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.08
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.24 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:00 +7’	2.00	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:57 +12’	2.08	3.30	3.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Raanana 2–4–0 SC Kfar Qasim

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Raanana	2-2 HT 2-0	SC Kfar Qasim
09/02/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Raanana	1-1 HT 0-0	SC Kfar Qasim
05/10/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	0-2 HT 0-1	Hapoel Raanana
21/04/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Hapoel Raanana	1-1 HT 1-1	SC Kfar Qasim
24/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kfar Qasim	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Raanana
29/11/24 Israel Cup	SC Kfar Qasim	1-3 HT 0-1	Hapoel Raanana

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MS Ashdod	7	6	0	1	17	6	18
2	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	7	5	2	0	17	6	17
3	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	7	5	1	1	13	7	16
4	Hapoel Raanana	7	5	0	2	18	9	15
5	Hapoel Afula	7	4	1	2	14	10	13
6	SC Kiryat Yam	7	4	0	3	21	13	12
7	Maccabi Bnei Raina	7	4	0	3	12	11	12
8	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	7	3	2	2	15	16	11
9	SC Kfar Qasim	7	3	1	3	10	7	10
10	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	7	2	2	3	6	7	8
11	Maccabi Herzliya	7	2	2	3	8	10	8
12	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	7	2	1	4	7	10	7
13	Hapoel Kfar Saba	7	2	0	5	9	18	6
14	Ironi Modiin	7	1	2	4	10	14	5
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	7	1	0	6	6	17	3
16	Hapoel Akko	7	0	0	7	0	22	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Raanana	SC Kfar Qasim
Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0-1 L	1-0 W
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	3-1 W	2-2 D
Hapoel Kfar Saba	6-1 W	4-2 W
Hapoel Afula	2-3 L	0-2 L
Maccabi Herzliya	3-2 W	0-1 L
Ironi Modiin	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Raanana (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Raanana

DDWWWLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	2-1	3	10	W
17/09	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
10/09	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
06/09	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	6-1	0	8	W
31/08	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-3	2-3	5	7	L
23/08	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	2-2	3-2	6	9	W
18/08	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
25/05	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
19/05	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
14/05	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-3	4	7	D

SC Kfar Qasim

DDLLWLDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/09	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
17/09	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	4-2	6	5	W
14/09	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	11	5	L
07/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
30/08	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	1-2	5	5	L
23/08	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	4-0	4	3	W
18/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
25/05	Hapoel Afula Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/05	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
15/05	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	2	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Raanana vs SC Kfar Qasim?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Raanana win (45%). Probabilities: Hapoel Raanana 45%, draw 25%, SC Kfar Qasim 30%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Raanana vs SC Kfar Qasim?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Hapoel Raanana 1.75 · SC Kfar Qasim 1.4), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Raanana vs SC Kfar Qasim?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.