Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 07/09, 18:00
Prediction: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Team pages: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv · Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1.86
Hapoel Rishon Lezion1.33
1X2
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Draw
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
2–3–1
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
(6 last)
- Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2-2Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1-1Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion0-0Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
- Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2-4Hapoel Rishon Lezion
- Hapoel Rishon Lezion1-2Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
- Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1-0Hapoel Rishon Lezion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1609 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1472
| Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | Draw | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 49% | 25% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (rating 1609 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.8 | 3.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–3–1 Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 19/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 24/08/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv |
| 15/04/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 2-4 HT 1-3 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
| 10/02/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv |
| 14/10/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Raanana | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 9 |
| 3 | MS Ashdod | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Hapoel Afula | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | SC Kiryat Yam | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 6 |
| 9 | Ironi Modiin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | SC Kfar Qasim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 12 | Maccabi Herzliya | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | Hapoel Rishon Lezion |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 3-1 W | 2-6 L |
| Maccabi Herzliya | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| SC Kiryat Yam | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 20/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 08/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/05 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
Hapoel Rishon Lezion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga |
1-2 | 2-6 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 27/04 | Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv win (49%). Probabilities: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 49%, draw 25%, Hapoel Rishon Lezion 26%.
How many goals are expected in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1.86 · Hapoel Rishon Lezion 1.33), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Rishon Lezion?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.