Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 17/09, 18:00
Prediction: Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Team pages: Hapoel Afula · Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Hapoel Afula1.5
Hapoel Kfar Shalem1.7
1X2
Hapoel Afula
Draw
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Afula
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Afula
1–2–3
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
(6 last)
- Hapoel Afula2-2Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-0Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Afula1-3Hapoel Kfar Shalem
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem1-6Hapoel Afula
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem2-2Hapoel Afula
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Afula 1476 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1498
| Hapoel Afula | Draw | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 25% | 41% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Hapoel Kfar Shalem: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.7 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Afula 1–2–3 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/01/26 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 07/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 07/03/25 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Afula |
| 04/11/24 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Afula | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
| 04/05/21 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 1-6 HT 0-3 | Hapoel Afula |
| 02/04/21 Israel Leumit Liga | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Afula |
Standings · Israel Leumit Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Hapoel Raanana | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | MS Ashdod | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Hapoel Afula | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Maccabi Herzliya | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 9 | SC Kiryat Yam | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 6 |
| 11 | Ironi Modiin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | SC Kfar Qasim | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| 15 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Hapoel Akko | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Afula | Hapoel Kfar Shalem |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Achi Nazareth | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| MS Ashdod | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| SC Kfar Qasim | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Afula (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Afula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 18/08 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 08/05 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/09 | MS Ashdod Israel Leumit Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/05 | SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga |
2-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Kfar Shalem win (41%). Probabilities: Hapoel Afula 33%, draw 26%, Hapoel Kfar Shalem 41%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Hapoel Afula 1.5 · Hapoel Kfar Shalem 1.7), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Afula vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.