Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 17/09, 18:00

Prediction: SC Kiryat Yam vs Ironi Modiin

Team pages: SC Kiryat Yam · Ironi Modiin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

SC Kiryat Yam1.8

Ironi Modiin0.89

1X2

58% 24% 18%

SC Kiryat Yam Draw Ironi Modiin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Kiryat Yam 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLDWLLWL

Ironi Modiin 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWDDL

Head-to-head

SC Kiryat Yam 1–1–0 Ironi Modiin (2 last)

Ironi Modiin0-0SC Kiryat Yam
SC Kiryat Yam3-2Ironi Modiin

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Kiryat Yam 1497 · Ironi Modiin 1484

	SC Kiryat Yam	Draw	Ironi Modiin
Our model	58%	25%	17%
Market	59%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Kiryat Yam	Ironi Modiin
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.1	2.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	5.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.90

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.53▼	Bet365 1.53
X	3.75 → 3.90▲	Pinn 4.09 ★
2	4.33 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.16

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +8’	1.61	3.75	4.33
05:02 +7’	1.53▼	3.90▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
01:54 +27’	1.56	3.99	4.93
03:58 +71’	1.53▼	4.09▲	5.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Kiryat Yam 1–1–0 Ironi Modiin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/01/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Ironi Modiin	0-0 HT 0-0	SC Kiryat Yam
07/09/25 Israel Leumit Liga	SC Kiryat Yam	3-2 HT 2-2	Ironi Modiin

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	5	4	1	0	14	4	13
2	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	5	4	1	0	10	4	13
3	Hapoel Raanana	5	4	0	1	16	7	12
4	MS Ashdod	5	4	0	1	11	3	12
5	Hapoel Afula	5	3	0	2	8	7	9
6	Maccabi Bnei Raina	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
7	Maccabi Herzliya	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
8	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	5	2	1	2	9	12	7
9	SC Kiryat Yam	5	2	0	3	15	10	6
10	Hapoel Kfar Saba	5	2	0	3	6	12	6
11	Ironi Modiin	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
12	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
13	SC Kfar Qasim	5	1	1	3	5	5	4
14	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
16	Hapoel Akko	5	0	0	5	0	18	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Kiryat Yam	Ironi Modiin
Hapoel Akko	5-0 W	0-1 L
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	6-2 W	4-1 W
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-2 L	2-4 L
Hapoel Kfar Saba	2-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Kiryat Yam (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Kiryat Yam

WWLLDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	2-4	1	3	L
06/09	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	5-0	2	3	W
30/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	2-3	7	3	L
23/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
18/08	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	3-1	6-2	7	7	W
25/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	7	6	D
20/05	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-2	1-2	6	3	L
15/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	8	5	L
11/05	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
05/05	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

Ironi Modiin

LWLWLLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-3	2-4	3	5	L
07/09	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
30/08	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	6	9	D
23/08	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	4-1	1	6	W
18/08	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	3	7	L
25/05	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
19/05	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-0	2	6	W
14/05	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-1	2	6	L
08/05	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa Israel Leumit Liga	2-1	4-1	5	6	W
05/05	Hapoel Hadera Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-1	9	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Kiryat Yam vs Ironi Modiin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Kiryat Yam win (58%). Probabilities: SC Kiryat Yam 58%, draw 24%, Ironi Modiin 18%.

How many goals are expected in SC Kiryat Yam vs Ironi Modiin?

The model expects 2.69 goals (SC Kiryat Yam 1.8 · Ironi Modiin 0.89), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Kiryat Yam vs Ironi Modiin?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.