Football · Israel Leumit Liga · 17/09, 18:00

Prediction: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Herzliya

Team pages: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv · Maccabi Herzliya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1.93

Maccabi Herzliya0.92

1X2

60% 24% 16%

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Draw Maccabi Herzliya

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDDWWWDW

Maccabi Herzliya 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWLLDW

Head-to-head

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–2–2 Maccabi Herzliya (6 last)

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv1-1Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Herzliya0-1Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv0-0Maccabi Herzliya
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv2-3Maccabi Herzliya
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv3-2Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Herzliya3-2Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1622 · Maccabi Herzliya 1504

	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Draw	Maccabi Herzliya
Our model	60%	24%	16%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv (rating 1622 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Maccabi Herzliya
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.2	1.6 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.75

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.56
X	3.60 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.96 ★
2	4.20 → 5.50▲	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
00:53 +1’	1.67	3.60	4.20
04:56 +12’	1.50▼	3.75▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:06 +15’	1.56	3.96	5.06

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 2–2–2 Maccabi Herzliya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	1-1 HT 0-0	Maccabi Herzliya
17/04/26 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	0-1 HT 0-0	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
13/01/26 Israel Cup	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Herzliya
15/12/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	2-3 HT 1-0	Maccabi Herzliya
25/04/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	3-2 HT 1-0	Maccabi Herzliya
10/01/25 Israel Leumit Liga	Maccabi Herzliya	3-2 HT 2-0	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

Standings · Israel Leumit Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	5	4	1	0	14	4	13
2	Hapoel Rishon Lezion	5	4	1	0	10	4	13
3	Hapoel Raanana	5	4	0	1	16	7	12
4	MS Ashdod	5	4	0	1	11	3	12
5	Hapoel Afula	5	3	0	2	8	7	9
6	Maccabi Bnei Raina	5	3	0	2	9	9	9
7	Maccabi Herzliya	5	2	1	2	6	6	7
8	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	5	2	1	2	9	12	7
9	SC Kiryat Yam	5	2	0	3	15	10	6
10	Hapoel Kfar Saba	5	2	0	3	6	12	6
11	Ironi Modiin	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
12	Maccabi Kiryat Gat	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
13	SC Kfar Qasim	5	1	1	3	5	5	4
14	Maccabi Achi Nazareth	5	1	1	3	6	9	4
15	Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
16	Hapoel Akko	5	0	0	5	0	18	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv	Maccabi Herzliya
Ironi Modiin	4-2 W	2-0 W
Hapoel Rishon Lezion	0-0 D	2-1 W
Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3-1 W	4-2 W
Hapoel Kfar Saba	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv

WWWDDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	3-0	4-2	9	5	W
07/09	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-0	8	9	D
31/08	Hapoel Akko Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	3-0	7	6	W
23/08	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
18/08	Maccabi Bnei Raina Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
25/05	Maccabi Herzliya Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	7	10	D
20/05	Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	2-2	3	2	D
15/05	SC Kiryat Yam Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-0	10	5	W
08/05	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
05/05	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	3-1	3	3	W

Maccabi Herzliya

WLWDDWLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	SC Kfar Qasim Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
07/09	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
30/08	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
23/08	Hapoel Raanana Israel Leumit Liga	2-2	2-3	3	9	L
18/08	Ironi Modiin Israel Leumit Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
25/05	Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	1-1	1	10	D
20/05	Hapoel Kfar Saba Israel Leumit Liga	1-1	1-1	2	3	D
15/05	Hapoel Rishon Lezion Israel Leumit Liga	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
08/05	Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Leumit Liga	0-0	0-3	3	4	L
05/05	Hapoel Kfar Shalem Israel Leumit Liga	0-2	4-2	3	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Herzliya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv win (60%). Probabilities: Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 60%, draw 24%, Maccabi Herzliya 16%.

How many goals are expected in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Herzliya?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv 1.93 · Maccabi Herzliya 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Herzliya?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.