Football · Poland I Liga · 01/08, 15:30
Prediction: Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow
Team pages: Arka Gdynia · Stal Rzeszow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Arka Gdynia1.74
Stal Rzeszow1.61
1X2
Arka Gdynia
Draw
Stal Rzeszow
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Arka Gdynia
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Stal Rzeszow
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arka Gdynia
3–1–2
Stal Rzeszow
(6 last)
- Arka Gdynia2-1Stal Rzeszow
- Stal Rzeszow1-0Arka Gdynia
- Arka Gdynia5-1Stal Rzeszow
- Stal Rzeszow2-3Arka Gdynia
- Stal Rzeszow2-1Arka Gdynia
- Arka Gdynia2-2Stal Rzeszow
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arka Gdynia 1484 · Stal Rzeszow 1452
| Arka Gdynia | Draw | Stal Rzeszow | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Arka Gdynia: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arka Gdynia | Stal Rzeszow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arka Gdynia 3–1–2 Stal Rzeszow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/24 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 22/07/24 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Arka Gdynia |
| 25/02/24 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Stal Rzeszow |
| 13/08/23 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Arka Gdynia |
| 07/05/23 Poland I Liga | Stal Rzeszow | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Arka Gdynia |
| 09/10/22 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 2-2 HT 2-2 | Stal Rzeszow |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chrobry Glogow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Stal Mielec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | LKS Lodz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Warta Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ruch Chorzow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arka Gdynia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | KTS-K Luzino Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Olimpia Grudziadz Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 08/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Stal Rzeszow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Rukh Lviv Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 14/07 | Korona Kielce Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 11/07 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | Gornik Leczna Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Widzew Lodz Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | GKS Tychy 71 Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arka Gdynia win (40%). Probabilities: Arka Gdynia 40%, draw 25%, Stal Rzeszow 35%.
How many goals are expected in Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Arka Gdynia 1.74 · Stal Rzeszow 1.61), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Arka Gdynia vs Stal Rzeszow?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.