Football · Poland I Liga · 01/08, 15:30
Prediction: Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice
Team pages: Polonia Warsaw · Unia Skierniewice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Polonia Warsaw1.74
Unia Skierniewice1.02
1X2
Polonia Warsaw
Draw
Unia Skierniewice
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Polonia Warsaw
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Unia Skierniewice
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polonia Warsaw
3–1–2
Unia Skierniewice
(6 last)
- Polonia Warsaw2-0Unia Skierniewice
- Polonia Warsaw2-0Unia Skierniewice
- Unia Skierniewice2-1Polonia Warsaw
- Polonia Warsaw2-2Unia Skierniewice
- Unia Skierniewice0-1Polonia Warsaw
- Polonia Warsaw0-1Unia Skierniewice
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polonia Warsaw 1472 · Unia Skierniewice 1494
| Polonia Warsaw | Draw | Unia Skierniewice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Polonia Warsaw: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polonia Warsaw | Unia Skierniewice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.5 | 3.3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Warsaw 3–1–2 Unia Skierniewice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/22 Europe Friendlies | Polonia Warsaw | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Unia Skierniewice |
| 05/03/22 Poland III Liga | Polonia Warsaw | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Unia Skierniewice |
| 10/08/21 Poland III Liga | Unia Skierniewice | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Polonia Warsaw |
| 19/06/21 Poland III Liga | Polonia Warsaw | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Unia Skierniewice |
| 12/05/21 Poland III Liga | Unia Skierniewice | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Polonia Warsaw |
| 20/03/21 Poland III Liga | Polonia Warsaw | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Unia Skierniewice |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chrobry Glogow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Stal Mielec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | LKS Lodz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Warta Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ruch Chorzow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polonia Warsaw
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/07 | FC Trinity Zlin Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Wisla Plock Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Znicz Pruszków Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 28/05 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Odra Opole Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Unia Skierniewice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | KKS 1925 Kalisz Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | LKS Lodz Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland II Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Warsaw win (53%). Probabilities: Polonia Warsaw 53%, draw 26%, Unia Skierniewice 21%.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Polonia Warsaw 1.74 · Unia Skierniewice 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Polonia Warsaw vs Unia Skierniewice?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.