Football · Poland I Liga · 02/08, 17:00
Prediction: Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Team pages: Stal Mielec · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Stal Mielec1.67
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1.67
1X2
Stal Mielec
Draw
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stal Mielec
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Stal Mielec
3–3
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
(6 last)
- Stal Mielec2-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala1-0Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec2-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala4-1Stal Mielec
- Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala0-2Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec0-1Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stal Mielec 1471 · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1565
| Stal Mielec | Draw | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala (rating 1471 vs 1565).
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stal Mielec | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.3 | 1.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.7 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stal Mielec 3–0–3 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/21 Poland Ekstraklasa | Stal Mielec | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
| 03/10/20 Poland Ekstraklasa | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Stal Mielec |
| 30/11/19 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
| 11/08/19 Poland I Liga | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Stal Mielec |
| 02/03/19 Poland I Liga | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Stal Mielec |
| 17/08/18 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chrobry Glogow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Polonia Bytom | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Stal Mielec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Arka Gdynia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Polonia Warsaw | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | LKS Lodz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Miedz Legnica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Warta Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | Unia Skierniewice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Odra Opole | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ruch Chorzow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Lechia Gdansk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Stal Mielec | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala |
|---|---|---|
| Podhale Nowy Targ | 1-5 L | 2-1 W |
| Miedz Legnica | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stal Mielec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/07 | Avia Swidnik Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | JKS Jaroslaw Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 11/07 | Puszcza Niepolomice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 01/07 | Podhale Nowy Targ Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 18/07 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 07/07 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 02/06 | Slask Wroclaw II Poland League II Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 12 | D |
| 16/05 | Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Stal Mielec win (38%). Probabilities: Stal Mielec 38%, draw 25%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 38%.
How many goals are expected in Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Stal Mielec 1.67 · Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala 1.67), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Stal Mielec vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.