Football · Israel Premier League · 19/10, 19:30
Prediction: Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
Team pages: Beitar Jerusalem · Maccabi Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Beitar Jerusalem1.71
Maccabi Tel Aviv2.01
1X2
Beitar Jerusalem
Draw
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Beitar Jerusalem
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beitar Jerusalem
4–1–1
Maccabi Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Maccabi Tel Aviv1-2Beitar Jerusalem
- Beitar Jerusalem4-2Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Beitar Jerusalem0-0Maccabi Tel Aviv
- Maccabi Tel Aviv2-6Beitar Jerusalem
- Maccabi Tel Aviv5-0Beitar Jerusalem
- Beitar Jerusalem3-1Maccabi Tel Aviv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beitar Jerusalem 1538 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 1572
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 23% | 44% |
| Market | 32% | 24% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Beitar Jerusalem: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beitar Jerusalem | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.7 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beitar Jerusalem 4–1–1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 02/05/26 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 4-2 HT 3-2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 16/02/26 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 09/11/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-6 HT 1-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 24/05/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 21/04/25 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beitar Jerusalem | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Maccabi Netanya | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Tel Aviv (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beitar Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 15/09 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 07/09 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/09 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 07/09 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 31/08 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 13/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Tel Aviv win (44%). Probabilities: Beitar Jerusalem 32%, draw 24%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 44%.
How many goals are expected in Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Beitar Jerusalem 1.71 · Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.01), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Beitar Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.