Football · Israel Premier League · 25/10, 19:15
Prediction: Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem
Team pages: Hapoel Petah Tikva · Beitar Jerusalem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Hapoel Petah Tikva0.85
Beitar Jerusalem1.92
1X2
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Draw
Beitar Jerusalem
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Beitar Jerusalem
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0–2–4
Beitar Jerusalem
(6 last)
- Hapoel Petah Tikva0-0Beitar Jerusalem
- Beitar Jerusalem3-1Hapoel Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Petah Tikva1-3Beitar Jerusalem
- Beitar Jerusalem5-2Hapoel Petah Tikva
- Hapoel Petah Tikva0-2Beitar Jerusalem
- Beitar Jerusalem2-2Hapoel Petah Tikva
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hapoel Petah Tikva 1394 · Beitar Jerusalem 1551
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 15% | 24% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 22% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Beitar Jerusalem (rating 1394 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Beitar Jerusalem: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | Beitar Jerusalem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 3 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Petah Tikva 0–2–4 Beitar Jerusalem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 28/04/26 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 17/01/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 04/10/25 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 5-2 HT 0-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
| 21/04/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Beitar Jerusalem |
| 30/01/24 Israel Premier League | Beitar Jerusalem | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Beitar Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Maccabi Netanya | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 8 | L |
| 10/10 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/08 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
Beitar Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 15/09 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 07/09 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 03/09 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Beitar Jerusalem win (62%). Probabilities: Hapoel Petah Tikva 15%, draw 23%, Beitar Jerusalem 62%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Hapoel Petah Tikva 0.85 · Beitar Jerusalem 1.92), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Beitar Jerusalem?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.