Football · Israel Premier League · 24/10, 17:45
Prediction: Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Team pages: Hapoel Jerusalem FC · Hapoel Tel Aviv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Hapoel Jerusalem FC1.51
Hapoel Tel Aviv1.41
1X2
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
Draw
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
1–3–2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(6 last)
- Hapoel Tel Aviv3-1Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv3-0Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC2-0Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Hapoel Tel Aviv0-0Hapoel Jerusalem FC
- Hapoel Jerusalem FC0-0Hapoel Tel Aviv
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Tel Aviv (rating 1489 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Hapoel Tel Aviv: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Hapoel Tel Aviv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/0/70% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.7 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Jerusalem FC 1–3–2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 08/11/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 29/07/25 Israel League Cup | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 01/04/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
| 09/03/24 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC |
| 27/01/24 Israel Cup | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 7 |
| 10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Haifa | 1-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Ironi Tiberias | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 4-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 2-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Tel Aviv (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hapoel Jerusalem FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | MS Ashdod Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Maccabi Netanya Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 10/10 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/09 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/09 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/08 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Beitar Jerusalem Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Jerusalem FC win (39%). Probabilities: Hapoel Jerusalem FC 39%, draw 27%, Hapoel Tel Aviv 34%.
How many goals are expected in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Hapoel Jerusalem FC 1.51 · Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hapoel Jerusalem FC vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.