Football · Israel Premier League · 26/10, 19:30
Prediction: Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Team pages: Maccabi Haifa · Hapoel Beer Sheva
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Maccabi Haifa1.61
Hapoel Beer Sheva1.57
1X2
Maccabi Haifa
Draw
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Haifa
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Beer Sheva
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Haifa
1–1–4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
(6 last)
- Hapoel Beer Sheva2-5Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa0-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Beer Sheva0-0Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa0-1Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Hapoel Beer Sheva4-1Maccabi Haifa
- Maccabi Haifa0-3Hapoel Beer Sheva
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Haifa 1592 · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1534
| Maccabi Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Haifa (rating 1592 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Hapoel Beer Sheva: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Beer Sheva | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.8 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.5 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Haifa 1–1–4 Hapoel Beer Sheva
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2-5 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 06/05/26 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 10/01/26 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 29/09/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
| 12/05/25 Israel Premier League | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Haifa |
| 07/04/25 Israel Premier League | Maccabi Haifa | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
Standings · Israel Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Haifa | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Maccabi Netanya | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 8 | Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| 9 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 7 |
| 10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 6 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| 13 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Haifa | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Jerusalem FC | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ironi Tiberias | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Kiryat Shmona | 4-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Haifa (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Haifa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Maccabi Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 05/09 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Hapoel Beer Sheva Israel Premier League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 19/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Hapoel Jerusalem FC Israel Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Ironi Tiberias Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Hapoel Kiryat Shmona Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Hapoel Petah Tikva Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 07/09 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/09 | Hapoel Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Hapoel Ramat Gan Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Maccabi Haifa Israel Premier League |
1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 19/05 | Maccabi Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
2-2 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Hapoel Tel Aviv Israel Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Haifa win (38%). Probabilities: Maccabi Haifa 38%, draw 26%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 36%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Maccabi Haifa 1.61 · Hapoel Beer Sheva 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.