Football · Poland I Liga · 24/07, 21:00
Prediction: Odra Opole vs Arka Gdynia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Odra Opole1.06
Arka Gdynia1.46
1X2
Odra Opole
Draw
Arka Gdynia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Odra Opole
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Arka Gdynia
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Odra Opole
1–2–3
Arka Gdynia
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Odra Opole 1426 · Arka Gdynia 1458
| Odra Opole | Draw | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 29% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Arka Gdynia: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Odra Opole | Arka Gdynia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 5.3 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Odra Opole 1–2–3 Arka Gdynia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/25 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Odra Opole |
| 06/10/24 Poland I Liga | Odra Opole | 0-6 HT 0-3 | Arka Gdynia |
| 30/05/24 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Odra Opole |
| 17/03/24 Poland I Liga | Arka Gdynia | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Odra Opole |
| 02/09/23 Poland I Liga | Odra Opole | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Arka Gdynia |
| 19/03/23 Poland I Liga | Odra Opole | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Arka Gdynia |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chrobry Glogow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stal Mielec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LKS Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Miedz Legnica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Odra Opole | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polonia Bytom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polonia Warsaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ruch Chorzow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stal Rzeszow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Warta Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Odra Opole
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Banik Ostrava B Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Maccabi Netanya Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Slask Wroclaw Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/07 | GKS Tychy 71 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 01/07 | Pardubice Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 28/06 | CSKA Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 28/06 | MSK Zilina Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Arka Gdynia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | KTS-K Luzino Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Olimpia Grudziadz Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/06 | GKS Katowice Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 08/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Odra Opole vs Arka Gdynia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Arka Gdynia win (45%). Probabilities: Odra Opole 27%, draw 28%, Arka Gdynia 45%.
How many goals are expected in Odra Opole vs Arka Gdynia?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Odra Opole 1.06 · Arka Gdynia 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Odra Opole vs Arka Gdynia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.