Football · Poland I Liga · 29/08, 15:30
Prediction: MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec
Team pages: MKP Pogon Siedlce · Stal Mielec
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
MKP Pogon Siedlce1.59
Stal Mielec1.48
1X2
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Draw
Stal Mielec
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MKP Pogon Siedlce
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Stal Mielec
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MKP Pogon Siedlce
3–1–2
Stal Mielec
(6 last)
- MKP Pogon Siedlce1-3Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec0-0MKP Pogon Siedlce
- MKP Pogon Siedlce2-1Stal Mielec
- MKP Pogon Siedlce1-2Stal Mielec
- Stal Mielec2-3MKP Pogon Siedlce
- Stal Mielec1-2MKP Pogon Siedlce
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours MKP Pogon Siedlce: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MKP Pogon Siedlce | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 2.2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MKP Pogon Siedlce 3–1–2 Stal Mielec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Stal Mielec |
| 08/11/25 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 0-0 HT 0-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 25/09/18 Poland Cup | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Stal Mielec |
| 17/03/18 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Stal Mielec |
| 23/08/17 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 2-3 HT 2-2 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 04/06/17 Poland I Liga | Stal Mielec | 1-2 HT 1-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Polonia Warsaw | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Warta Poznan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Stal Mielec | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 8 |
| 6 | Miedz Legnica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Chrobry Glogow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | LKS Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Odra Opole | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 11 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 13 | Polonia Bytom | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 5 |
| 14 | Ruch Chorzow | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Lechia Gdansk | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 |
| 16 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 17 | Unia Skierniewice | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | Stal Rzeszow | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MKP Pogon Siedlce | Stal Mielec |
|---|---|---|
| Polonia Bytom | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| Stal Rzeszow | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Miedz Legnica | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Stal Mielec (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Lechia Gdansk Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Termalica BB Nieciecza Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Stal Mielec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
2-1 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland I Liga |
3-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Unia Skierniewice Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Polonia Bytom Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MKP Pogon Siedlce win (39%). Probabilities: MKP Pogon Siedlce 39%, draw 26%, Stal Mielec 34%.
How many goals are expected in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
The model expects 3.07 goals (MKP Pogon Siedlce 1.59 · Stal Mielec 1.48), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.