Football · Poland I Liga · 25/07, 15:30
Prediction: MKP Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
MKP Pogon Siedlce1.64
LKS Lodz1.55
1X2
MKP Pogon Siedlce
Draw
LKS Lodz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
MKP Pogon Siedlce
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LKS Lodz
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
MKP Pogon Siedlce
2–1–2
LKS Lodz
(5 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LKS Lodz (rating 1463 vs 1505).
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MKP Pogon Siedlce | LKS Lodz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.1 | 1.7 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MKP Pogon Siedlce 2–1–2 LKS Lodz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Poland I Liga | LKS Lodz | 4-0 HT 2-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 25/10/25 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 3-1 HT 1-1 | LKS Lodz |
| 06/04/25 Poland I Liga | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 1-1 HT 0-0 | LKS Lodz |
| 13/09/24 Poland I Liga | LKS Lodz | 2-0 HT 1-0 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
| 18/01/23 Europe Friendlies | LKS Lodz | 1-3 HT 1-2 | MKP Pogon Siedlce |
Standings · Poland I Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Termalica BB Nieciecza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Chrobry Glogow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stal Mielec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | LKS Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Miedz Legnica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Odra Opole | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MKP Pogon Siedlce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polonia Bytom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Polonia Warsaw | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Puszcza Niepolomice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ruch Chorzow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stal Rzeszow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Unia Skierniewice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Warta Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MKP Pogon Siedlce | LKS Lodz |
|---|---|---|
| Radomiak Radom | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Unia Skierniewice | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: LKS Lodz (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MKP Pogon Siedlce
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 04/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 27/06 | Unia Skierniewice Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | Wisla Krakow Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Stal Mielec Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | LKS Lodz Poland I Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
LKS Lodz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Wisla Plock Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Unia Skierniewice Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/07 | Radomiak Radom Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/07 | Dinamo Bucharest Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 28/05 | Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Gornik Leczna Poland I Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Puszcza Niepolomice Poland I Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 07/05 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | MKP Pogon Siedlce Poland I Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a MKP Pogon Siedlce win (39%). Probabilities: MKP Pogon Siedlce 39%, draw 26%, LKS Lodz 35%.
How many goals are expected in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz?
The model expects 3.19 goals (MKP Pogon Siedlce 1.64 · LKS Lodz 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in MKP Pogon Siedlce vs LKS Lodz?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.