Football · Peru Liga 2 · 24/07, 20:00

Prediction: Union Minas vs CD Estudiantil CNI

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Union Minas1.37
CD Estudiantil CNI0.6
1X2
56% 28% 16%
Union Minas Draw CD Estudiantil CNI
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Union Minas 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DDDLLWDLLL
CD Estudiantil CNI 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLDWLWLLLD
Head-to-head
Union Minas 0–1–0 CD Estudiantil CNI (1 last)
  • CD Estudiantil CNI0-0Union Minas
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Minas 1450 · CD Estudiantil CNI 1458
Union MinasDrawCD Estudiantil CNI
Our model55%30%15%
Market57%26%17%
Estimated total (ours) 1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union MinasCD Estudiantil CNI
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.11.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 4.71.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.7 / 0.64.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Minas 010 CD Estudiantil CNI

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/04/26
Peru Liga 2
CD Estudiantil CNI0-0
HT 0-0
Union Minas

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Comerciantes FC 9450 12617
2 Bentin Tacna Heroica 9432 10815
3 Alianza Universidad 9423 12914
4 Santos FC 9423 10914
5 Sport Huancayo II 9333 8912
6 Ayacucho FC 9243 7810
7 CD Estudiantil CNI 8233 999
8 Union Minas 9153 468
9 Deportivo Binacional 9135 7156

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion MinasCD Estudiantil CNI
Bentin Tacna Heroica 1-2 L 1-3 L
Alianza Universidad 1-3 L 0-2 L
Santos FC 1-0 W 3-0 W
Sport Huancayo II 0-1 L 2-0 W
Comerciantes FC 0-0 D 0-0 D
Ayacucho FC 2-2 D 0-1 L
Deportivo Binacional 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Minas

DDDLLWDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-2 19 L
26/06 Alianza Universidad
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-3 67 L
21/06 Sport Huancayo
Peru Copa de la Liga
1-1 1-2 45 L
12/06 AD Tarma
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 42 D
29/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-0 25 W
23/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 32 L
15/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 77 L
08/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
02/05 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 D
26/04 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 98 D

CD Estudiantil CNI

DLDWLWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Comerciantes FC
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 0-0 32 D
21/06 Sporting Cristal
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-0 1-2 18 L
15/06 Union Comercio
Peru Copa de la Liga
0-1 1-3 23 L
30/05 Bentin Tacna Heroica
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-3 44 L
23/05 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
2-0 3-0 W
16/05 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-2 0-2 24 L
10/05 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
2-0 2-0 63 W
03/05 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 210 D
26/04 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 85 L
20/04 Deportivo Binacional
Peru Liga 2
1-2 2-2 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Minas vs CD Estudiantil CNI?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Minas win (56%). Probabilities: Union Minas 56%, draw 28%, CD Estudiantil CNI 16%.

How many goals are expected in Union Minas vs CD Estudiantil CNI?

The model expects 1.97 goals (Union Minas 1.37 · CD Estudiantil CNI 0.6), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Minas vs CD Estudiantil CNI?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.