Football · Belgium First Division A · 08/08, 18:15
Prediction: Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Standard Liege1.55
Cercle Brugge1.36
1X2
Standard Liege
Draw
Cercle Brugge
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Standard Liege
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Cercle Brugge
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Standard Liege
2–2–2
Cercle Brugge
(6 last)
- Cercle Brugge1-2Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-3Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge1-1Standard Liege
- Standard Liege1-0Cercle Brugge
- Cercle Brugge1-1Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-1Cercle Brugge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Standard Liege 1533 · Cercle Brugge 1489
| Standard Liege | Draw | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 27% | 32% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Standard Liege (rating 1533 vs 1489).
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Standard Liege | Cercle Brugge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Standard Liege 2–2–2 Cercle Brugge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Standard Liege |
| 23/08/25 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Cercle Brugge |
| 01/02/25 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 23/11/24 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cercle Brugge |
| 26/01/24 Belgium First Division A | Cercle Brugge | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 19/08/23 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cercle Brugge |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lommel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OH Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zulte-Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Standard Liege
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Dunkerque Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Francs Borains Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Royal Aubel FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | RCS Verlaine Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 19/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Cercle Brugge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Monaco Elite Club Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Reims Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | PEC Zwolle Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Lommel Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 24/04 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Standard Liege win (41%). Probabilities: Standard Liege 41%, draw 26%, Cercle Brugge 32%.
How many goals are expected in Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Standard Liege 1.55 · Cercle Brugge 1.36), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Standard Liege vs Cercle Brugge?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.