Football · Belgium First Division A · 16/08, 18:30
Prediction: KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege
Team pages: KV Mechelen · Standard Liege
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
KV Mechelen1.17
Standard Liege1.12
1X2
KV Mechelen
Draw
Standard Liege
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KV Mechelen
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Standard Liege
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
KV Mechelen
0–5–1
Standard Liege
(6 last)
- KV Mechelen0-1Standard Liege
- Standard Liege1-1KV Mechelen
- KV Mechelen0-0Standard Liege
- Standard Liege2-2KV Mechelen
- KV Mechelen0-0Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-0KV Mechelen
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Standard Liege (rating 1480 vs 1527).
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KV Mechelen | Standard Liege | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 1.8 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · KV Mechelen 0–5–1 Standard Liege
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/25 Belgium First Division A | KV Mechelen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 12/09/25 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 1-1 HT 0-0 | KV Mechelen |
| 10/05/25 Belgium First Division A | KV Mechelen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 29/03/25 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 2-2 HT 2-1 | KV Mechelen |
| 26/12/24 Belgium First Division A | KV Mechelen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 09/08/24 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 0-0 HT 0-0 | KV Mechelen |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Antwerp | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zulte-Waregem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Cercle Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lommel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sint-Truidense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Genk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Westerlo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KV Mechelen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Dunkerque Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/07 | Willem II Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | ADO Den Haag Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/07 | KSK Heist Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Sporting Hasselt Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Rupel Boom FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/05 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Standard Liege
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Juventus Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Dunkerque Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Francs Borains Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/07 | Royal Aubel FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | RCS Verlaine Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 19/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?
According to our model, the most likely result is a KV Mechelen win (36%). Probabilities: KV Mechelen 36%, draw 31%, Standard Liege 33%.
How many goals are expected in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?
The model expects 2.29 goals (KV Mechelen 1.17 · Standard Liege 1.12), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in KV Mechelen vs Standard Liege?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.