Football · Belgium First Division A · 15/08, 20:45
Prediction: Genk vs Westerlo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Genk1.91
Westerlo0.96
1X2
Genk
Draw
Westerlo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Genk
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Westerlo
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Genk
5–1–0
Westerlo
(6 last)
- Genk3-0Westerlo
- Westerlo1-2Genk
- Genk1-1Westerlo
- Westerlo0-1Genk
- Westerlo1-2Genk
- Genk1-0Westerlo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genk (rating 1518 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Genk: 5-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Genk | Westerlo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/11/44% | 22/56/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Genk 5–1–0 Westerlo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Belgium First Division A | Genk | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Westerlo |
| 18/04/26 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Genk |
| 14/12/25 Belgium First Division A | Genk | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Westerlo |
| 02/11/25 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Genk |
| 25/01/25 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Genk |
| 30/08/24 Belgium First Division A | Genk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Westerlo |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cercle Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Standard Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Lommel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Sint-Truidense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | OH Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | SK Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Zulte-Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Westerlo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Genk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Twente Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Top Oss Club Friendly List |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/07 | Bayer Leverkusen Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 22/07 | AZ Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/07 | Falkirk Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 17/07 | Motherwell Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-3 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Fortuna Sittard Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Westerlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Samsunspor Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Kifisias FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Europe Friendlies |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Helmond Sport Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | PAOK Salonika Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/05 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Genk vs Westerlo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Genk win (58%). Probabilities: Genk 58%, draw 24%, Westerlo 17%.
How many goals are expected in Genk vs Westerlo?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Genk 1.91 · Westerlo 0.96), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Genk vs Westerlo?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

