Prediction: Genk vs Westerlo

Team pages: Genk · Westerlo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Genk1.91
Westerlo0.96
1X2
58% 24% 17%
Genk Draw Westerlo
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Genk 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WDLWLLLWWL
Westerlo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWDDLL
Head-to-head
Genk 5–1–0 Westerlo (6 last)
  • Genk3-0Westerlo
  • Westerlo1-2Genk
  • Genk1-1Westerlo
  • Westerlo0-1Genk
  • Westerlo1-2Genk
  • Genk1-0Westerlo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Genk (rating 1518 vs 1431).
  • H2H favours Genk: 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GenkWesterlo
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.80.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.90.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/11/44%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.31.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.8 / 0.12.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Genk 510 Westerlo

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
Belgium First Division A
Genk3-0
HT 0-0
Westerlo
18/04/26
Belgium First Division A
Westerlo1-2
HT 0-0
Genk
14/12/25
Belgium First Division A
Genk1-1
HT 0-1
Westerlo
02/11/25
Belgium First Division A
Westerlo0-1
HT 0-1
Genk
25/01/25
Belgium First Division A
Westerlo1-2
HT 0-2
Genk
30/08/24
Belgium First Division A
Genk1-0
HT 0-0
Westerlo

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Saint Gilloise 1100 513
2 Club Brugge 1100 303
3 Cercle Brugge 1010 221
3 Standard Liege 1010 221
5 Lommel 1010 111
5 Sint-Truidense 1010 111
7 Gent 0000 000
7 Genk 0000 000
7 OH Leuven 0000 000
7 RAAL La Louviere 0000 000
7 Antwerp 0000 000
7 Charleroi 0000 000
7 Anderlecht 0000 000
7 SK Beveren 0000 000
7 Zulte-Waregem 0000 000
7 KV Mechelen 0000 000
17 KV Kortrijk 1001 030
18 Westerlo 1001 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genk

WDLWLLLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Zulte-Waregem
Belgium First Division A
1-0 1-2 35 L
02/08 FC Twente
Elite Club Friendlies
2-0 2-1 13 W
01/08 Top Oss
Club Friendly List
3-1 W
29/07 Bayer Leverkusen
Elite Club Friendlies
0-2 0-4 40 L
22/07 AZ
Elite Club Friendlies
0-2 0-4 L
18/07 Falkirk
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 50 L
17/07 Motherwell
Europe Friendlies
2-1 4-3 50 W
11/07 Fortuna Sittard
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 10 L
31/05 Gent
Belgium First Division A
0-0 0-0 35 D
23/05 OH Leuven
Belgium First Division A
2-0 2-0 42 W

Westerlo

LWLLLWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Union Saint Gilloise
Belgium First Division A
1-1 1-5 43 L
01/08 Samsunspor
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-2 50 L
29/07 Kifisias FC
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 01 D
18/07 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Europe Friendlies
0-0 D
12/07 Helmond Sport
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 41 W
04/07 PAOK Salonika
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-4 30 L
23/05 Antwerp
Belgium First Division A
0-1 0-2 65 L
19/05 Standard Liege
Belgium First Division A
1-2 1-2 65 L
16/05 Charleroi
Belgium First Division A
0-0 1-0 55 W
10/05 Genk
Belgium First Division A
0-0 0-3 33 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genk vs Westerlo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Genk win (58%). Probabilities: Genk 58%, draw 24%, Westerlo 17%.

How many goals are expected in Genk vs Westerlo?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Genk 1.91 · Westerlo 0.96), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Genk vs Westerlo?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.