Prediction: Lommel vs Charleroi
Team pages: Lommel · Charleroi
- Charleroi0-0Lommel
| Lommel | Draw | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lommel (rating 1559 vs 1515).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lommel | Charleroi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 2.7 | 2.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lommel 0–1–0 Charleroi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/21 Belgium Cup | Charleroi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lommel |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Antwerp | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Zulte-Waregem | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Cercle Brugge | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Lommel | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Sint-Truidense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Genk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Westerlo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lommel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 24/07 | ADO Den Haag Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Go Ahead Eagles Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | OH Leuven Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Cercle Brugge Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 07/07 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Charleroi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Rayo Vallecano Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Tienen Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Lens Elite Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/07 | Feyenoord Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 19/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 14 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lommel vs Charleroi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Charleroi win (43%). Probabilities: Lommel 29%, draw 28%, Charleroi 43%.
How many goals are expected in Lommel vs Charleroi?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Lommel 1.25 · Charleroi 1.57), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lommel vs Charleroi?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.