Football · Belgium First Division A · 08/08, 20:45
Prediction: Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise
Team pages: Union Saint Gilloise
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Westerlo0.91
Union Saint Gilloise1.6
1X2
Westerlo
Draw
Union Saint Gilloise
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Westerlo
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Union Saint Gilloise
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Westerlo
1–2–3
Union Saint Gilloise
(6 last)
- Westerlo0-0Union Saint Gilloise
- Union Saint Gilloise2-0Westerlo
- Union Saint Gilloise3-1Westerlo
- Westerlo4-3Union Saint Gilloise
- Union Saint Gilloise2-2Westerlo
- Westerlo1-3Union Saint Gilloise
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Westerlo 1454 · Union Saint Gilloise 1551
| Westerlo | Draw | Union Saint Gilloise | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 27% | 52% |
| Market | 22% | 24% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Saint Gilloise (rating 1454 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Union Saint Gilloise: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Westerlo | Union Saint Gilloise | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/44/33% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Westerlo 1–2–3 Union Saint Gilloise
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Saint Gilloise |
| 27/09/25 Belgium First Division A | Union Saint Gilloise | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Westerlo |
| 15/12/24 Belgium First Division A | Union Saint Gilloise | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Westerlo |
| 10/08/24 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 4-3 HT 3-1 | Union Saint Gilloise |
| 10/02/24 Belgium First Division A | Union Saint Gilloise | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Westerlo |
| 29/10/23 Belgium First Division A | Westerlo | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Union Saint Gilloise |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lommel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OH Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zulte-Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Westerlo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Samsunspor Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/07 | Kifisias FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Europe Friendlies |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | Helmond Sport Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | PAOK Salonika Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/05 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | D |
Union Saint Gilloise
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Club Brugge Belgium Super Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Lille Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | FCSB Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
4-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-3 | 0-5 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Anderlecht Belgium Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Saint Gilloise win (53%). Probabilities: Westerlo 21%, draw 25%, Union Saint Gilloise 53%.
How many goals are expected in Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Westerlo 0.91 · Union Saint Gilloise 1.6), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Westerlo vs Union Saint Gilloise?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.