Football · Belgium First Division A · 08/08, 20:45
Prediction: Sint-Truidense vs Lommel
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
Sint-Truidense1.93
Lommel1
1X2
Sint-Truidense
Draw
Lommel
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sint-Truidense
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Lommel
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sint-Truidense
4–1
Lommel
(5 last)
- Sint-Truidense1-2Lommel
- Lommel0-1Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense6-1Lommel
- Sint-Truidense2-1Lommel
- Lommel0-1Sint-Truidense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sint-Truidense 1549 · Lommel 1543
| Sint-Truidense | Draw | Lommel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 57% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sint-Truidense: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sint-Truidense | Lommel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 1.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.8 | 1.6 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sint-Truidense 4–0–1 Lommel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/19 Europe Friendlies | Sint-Truidense | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Lommel |
| 14/07/18 Europe Friendlies | Lommel | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sint-Truidense |
| 16/03/17 Europe Friendlies | Sint-Truidense | 6-1 HT 3-1 | Lommel |
| 25/04/15 Belgium First Division B | Sint-Truidense | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Lommel |
| 21/11/14 Belgium First Division B | Lommel | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sint-Truidense |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lommel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OH Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zulte-Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sint-Truidense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | AEK Athens Europe Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Helmond Sport Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/07 | RFC Liege Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Lucerne Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | VV Zepperen-Brustem Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | KVV Thes Sport Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
Lommel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | ADO Den Haag Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Go Ahead Eagles Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/07 | OH Leuven Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Cercle Brugge Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 07/07 | FC Kryvbas Kriviy Rih Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
0-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division A Play-Offs |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 27/04 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sint-Truidense vs Lommel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sint-Truidense win (58%). Probabilities: Sint-Truidense 58%, draw 25%, Lommel 18%.
How many goals are expected in Sint-Truidense vs Lommel?
The model expects 2.93 goals (Sint-Truidense 1.93 · Lommel 1), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sint-Truidense vs Lommel?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.