Football · Belgium First Division A · 09/08, 18:30

Prediction: Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louviere

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.6Total

Anderlecht1.65

RAAL La Louviere0.95

1X2

53% 26% 21%

Anderlecht Draw RAAL La Louviere

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Anderlecht 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LDDDWLDWDW

RAAL La Louviere 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWWLDDD

Head-to-head

Anderlecht 3–1–0 RAAL La Louviere (4 last)

Anderlecht0-0RAAL La Louviere
RAAL La Louviere0-1Anderlecht
RAAL La Louviere0-1Anderlecht
RAAL La Louviere1-7Anderlecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anderlecht 1509 · RAAL La Louviere 1469

	Anderlecht	Draw	RAAL La Louviere
Our model	52%	27%	21%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anderlecht (rating 1509 vs 1469).
H2H favours Anderlecht: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Anderlecht	RAAL La Louviere
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.7	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.2 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.6	1.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.78
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.62
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.65 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:35 +3’	1.73	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +1’	1.79	3.56	4.65
01:37	1.78▼	3.62▲	4.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Anderlecht 3–1–0 RAAL La Louviere

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	0-0 HT 0-0	RAAL La Louviere
23/11/25 Belgium First Division A	RAAL La Louviere	0-1 HT 0-0	Anderlecht
31/10/23 Belgium Cup	RAAL La Louviere	0-1 HT 0-1	Anderlecht
27/10/21 Belgium Cup	RAAL La Louviere	1-7 HT 1-4	Anderlecht

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cercle Brugge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Club Brugge	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KV Kortrijk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Westerlo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lommel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OH Leuven	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RAAL La Louviere	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Antwerp	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Charleroi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Anderlecht	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SK Beveren	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sint-Truidense	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Standard Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zulte-Waregem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Union Saint Gilloise	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KV Mechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Anderlecht

LDDDWLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Hammarby UEFA Europa League Qualifying	0-1	3-1	10	5	W
23/07	Hammarby UEFA Europa League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
11/07	NEC Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-2	3	0	W
04/07	Boulogne Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-4	1-5	1	5	L
21/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
17/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
14/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium Cup	0-0	1-1	5	7	D
10/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
03/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-3	8	4	L

RAAL La Louviere

LLWLWWLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Eintracht Braunschweig Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
25/07	Samsunspor Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
22/07	Kifisias FC Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
18/07	Lille Club Friendly List	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
15/07	Excelsior Virton Europe Friendlies	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
11/07	KSC Lokeren Temse Europe Friendlies	0-0	3-2	7	2	W
04/07	Union Rochefortoise Europe Friendlies	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
09/05	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	4-1	6	3	W
03/05	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
26/04	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-4	6	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louviere?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anderlecht win (53%). Probabilities: Anderlecht 53%, draw 26%, RAAL La Louviere 21%.

How many goals are expected in Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louviere?

The model expects 2.6 goals (Anderlecht 1.65 · RAAL La Louviere 0.95), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louviere?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.