Football · Belgium First Division A · 09/08, 19:15
Prediction: Antwerp vs SK Beveren
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Antwerp1.61
SK Beveren0.8
1X2
Antwerp
Draw
SK Beveren
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Antwerp
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
SK Beveren
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Antwerp
4–1–1
SK Beveren
(6 last)
- SK Beveren2-2Antwerp
- Antwerp3-2SK Beveren
- SK Beveren0-3Antwerp
- SK Beveren0-4Antwerp
- Antwerp4-1SK Beveren
- Antwerp0-2SK Beveren
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Antwerp 1477 · SK Beveren 1591
| Antwerp | Draw | SK Beveren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Beveren (rating 1477 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Antwerp: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Antwerp | SK Beveren | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 2.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Antwerp 4–1–1 SK Beveren
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/22 Belgium Cup | SK Beveren | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Antwerp |
| 29/01/21 Belgium First Division A | Antwerp | 3-2 HT 1-1 | SK Beveren |
| 20/12/20 Belgium First Division A | SK Beveren | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Antwerp |
| 06/12/19 Belgium First Division A | SK Beveren | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Antwerp |
| 04/08/19 Belgium First Division A | Antwerp | 4-1 HT 2-1 | SK Beveren |
| 15/12/18 Belgium First Division A | Antwerp | 0-2 HT 0-0 | SK Beveren |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cercle Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gent | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Genk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Kortrijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Westerlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lommel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | OH Leuven | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | RAAL La Louviere | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Antwerp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Charleroi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Anderlecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SK Beveren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sint-Truidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Standard Liege | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Zulte-Waregem | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Saint Gilloise | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | KV Mechelen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Antwerp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Leyton Orient Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Millwall Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Olympiacos Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Sporting Hasselt Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 11/07 | Bochum Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/07 | PSV Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 15/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
SK Beveren
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | FC Eindhoven Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | KSK Beveren Club Friendly List |
3-1 | 8-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/07 | PAOK Salonika Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 17/04 | Seraing United Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 04/04 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/03 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 11/03 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Division B |
3-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 08/03 | KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Antwerp vs SK Beveren?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Antwerp win (56%). Probabilities: Antwerp 56%, draw 26%, SK Beveren 18%.
How many goals are expected in Antwerp vs SK Beveren?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Antwerp 1.61 · SK Beveren 0.8), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Antwerp vs SK Beveren?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.