Football · Belgium First Division A · 29/08, 20:45
Prediction: OH Leuven vs Standard Liege
Team pages: OH Leuven · Standard Liege
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
OH Leuven1.35
Standard Liege1.49
1X2
OH Leuven
Draw
Standard Liege
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
OH Leuven
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Standard Liege
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
OH Leuven
3–1–2
Standard Liege
(6 last)
- Standard Liege2-1OH Leuven
- OH Leuven1-3Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-1OH Leuven
- OH Leuven1-0Standard Liege
- OH Leuven1-1Standard Liege
- Standard Liege0-1OH Leuven
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Standard Liege (rating 1457 vs 1533).
- H2H favours OH Leuven: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| OH Leuven | Standard Liege | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.3 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · OH Leuven 3–1–2 Standard Liege
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 2-1 HT 0-1 | OH Leuven |
| 04/04/26 Belgium First Division A | OH Leuven | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 12/12/25 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 0-1 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven |
| 31/08/25 Belgium First Division A | OH Leuven | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Standard Liege |
| 26/04/25 Belgium First Division A | OH Leuven | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Standard Liege |
| 22/04/25 Belgium First Division A | Standard Liege | 0-1 HT 0-0 | OH Leuven |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Zulte-Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Antwerp | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Standard Liege | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 7 | Union Saint Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Lommel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Genk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Sint-Truidense | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 | Westerlo | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | OH Leuven | Standard Liege |
|---|---|---|
| Charleroi | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Genk | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Antwerp | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Westerlo | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Standard Liege (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
OH Leuven
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 09/08 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 15/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
3-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 21/04 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Standard Liege
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 08/08 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 19/05 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/05 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/04 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Standard Liege win (39%). Probabilities: OH Leuven 33%, draw 27%, Standard Liege 39%.
How many goals are expected in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
The model expects 2.83 goals (OH Leuven 1.35 · Standard Liege 1.49), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in OH Leuven vs Standard Liege?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.