Football · Belgium First Division A · 30/08, 13:30

Prediction: Gent vs Club Brugge

Team pages: Gent · Club Brugge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Gent1.24

Club Brugge1.25

1X2

35% 30% 36%

Gent Draw Club Brugge

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gent 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

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Club Brugge 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Gent 0–1–5 Club Brugge (6 last)

Club Brugge5-0Gent
Gent0-2Club Brugge
Club Brugge2-1Gent
Gent1-1Club Brugge
Club Brugge4-1Gent
Gent0-5Club Brugge

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Brugge (rating 1522 vs 1579).
H2H favours Club Brugge: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gent	Club Brugge
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.1	3.2 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	90/10/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.5	3.2 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	1.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.92

Under 31.92

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.01 → 4.02▲	Pinn 4.02
X	4.06 → 4.05▼	Pinn 4.05
2	1.79 → 1.79	Pinn 1.79

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:26	4.01	4.06	1.79
01:26 +1’	4.02▲	4.05▼	1.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gent 0–1–5 Club Brugge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	5-0 HT 3-0	Gent
26/04/26 Belgium First Division A	Gent	0-2 HT 0-1	Club Brugge
21/12/25 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	2-1 HT 1-0	Gent
31/08/25 Belgium First Division A	Gent	1-1 HT 0-0	Club Brugge
01/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	4-1 HT 1-1	Gent
20/04/25 Belgium First Division A	Gent	0-5 HT 0-3	Club Brugge

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	7	0	9
2	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Zulte-Waregem	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Standard Liege	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
7	Union Saint Gilloise	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
8	Lommel	3	1	1	1	5	2	4
9	Genk	3	1	1	1	8	8	4
10	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	SK Beveren	3	1	0	2	2	6	3
12	Sint-Truidense	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
13	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
14	KV Mechelen	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
16	OH Leuven	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
17	KV Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	0	6	0
18	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	3	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gent	Club Brugge
KV Mechelen	2-0 W	2-2 D
Union Saint Gilloise	0-0 D	5-0 W
Sint-Truidense	1-1 D	2-0 W
Anderlecht	1-1 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club Brugge (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gent

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
31/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
21/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
16/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
10/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
03/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
26/04	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
22/04	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Club Brugge

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
15/08	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	16	0	W
07/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
24/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	3-0	5-0	5	1	W
21/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
17/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	3-0	5-0	6	3	W
09/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
26/04	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	9	2	W
22/04	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-1	6-1	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gent vs Club Brugge?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Club Brugge win (36%). Probabilities: Gent 35%, draw 30%, Club Brugge 36%.

How many goals are expected in Gent vs Club Brugge?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Gent 1.24 · Club Brugge 1.25), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gent vs Club Brugge?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.