Football · Belgium First Division A · 30/08, 16:00

Prediction: Antwerp vs Sint-Truidense

Team pages: Antwerp · Sint-Truidense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Antwerp1.36

Sint-Truidense1.3

1X2

37% 28% 34%

Antwerp Draw Sint-Truidense

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Antwerp 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDWWWD

Sint-Truidense 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLDLWDD

Head-to-head

Antwerp 3–2–1 Sint-Truidense (6 last)

Antwerp1-0Sint-Truidense
Antwerp3-3Sint-Truidense
Sint-Truidense1-0Antwerp
Sint-Truidense1-1Antwerp
Antwerp6-1Sint-Truidense
Antwerp3-0Sint-Truidense

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sint-Truidense (rating 1527 vs 1573).
H2H favours Antwerp: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antwerp	Sint-Truidense
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.2	2.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.59 → 2.59	Pinn 2.59
X	3.43 → 3.43	Pinn 3.43
2	2.69 → 2.69	Pinn 2.69

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:29	2.59	3.43	2.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antwerp 3–2–1 Sint-Truidense

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	1-0 HT 0-0	Sint-Truidense
03/12/25 Belgium Cup	Antwerp	3-3 HT 2-2	Sint-Truidense
02/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Sint-Truidense	1-0 HT 1-0	Antwerp
24/01/25 Belgium First Division A	Sint-Truidense	1-1 HT 1-1	Antwerp
11/08/24 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	6-1 HT 2-0	Sint-Truidense
03/03/24 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	3-0 HT 0-0	Sint-Truidense

Standings · Belgium First Division A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	7	0	9
2	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Zulte-Waregem	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Standard Liege	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
7	Union Saint Gilloise	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
8	Lommel	3	1	1	1	5	2	4
9	Genk	3	1	1	1	8	8	4
10	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	SK Beveren	3	1	0	2	2	6	3
12	Sint-Truidense	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
13	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
14	KV Mechelen	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
16	OH Leuven	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
17	KV Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	0	6	0
18	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	3	12	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antwerp

WWLLLDWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	5	2	D
15/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
09/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
23/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
19/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/05	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
10/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	5	L
03/05	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	7	3	L
25/04	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	3-0	4-2	7	8	W
21/04	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	4	3	W

Sint-Truidense

DWWWLDLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	2-1	3-3	3	3	D
08/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
24/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	2	4	W
21/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-2	1-3	9	4	L
16/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
09/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
02/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	9	7	W
26/04	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-1	7	2	W
23/04	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
19/04	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	5	1	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antwerp vs Sint-Truidense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Antwerp win (37%). Probabilities: Antwerp 37%, draw 28%, Sint-Truidense 34%.

How many goals are expected in Antwerp vs Sint-Truidense?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Antwerp 1.36 · Sint-Truidense 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Sint-Truidense?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.