Football · Belgium First Division A · 30/08, 18:30

Prediction: Union Saint Gilloise vs Anderlecht

Team pages: Union Saint Gilloise · Anderlecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.03Total

Union Saint Gilloise1.79

Anderlecht1.23

1X2

49% 25% 25%

Union Saint Gilloise Draw Anderlecht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Union Saint Gilloise 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLDWWD

Anderlecht 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDWLWL

Head-to-head

Union Saint Gilloise 4–1–1 Anderlecht (6 last)

Union Saint Gilloise5-1Anderlecht
Union Saint Gilloise1-1Anderlecht
Anderlecht1-3Union Saint Gilloise
Anderlecht1-0Union Saint Gilloise
Union Saint Gilloise2-0Anderlecht
Anderlecht0-1Union Saint Gilloise

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Union Saint Gilloise: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Union Saint Gilloise	Anderlecht
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.2	2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.97

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.71 → 1.71	Pinn 1.71
X	3.91 → 3.91	Pinn 3.91
2	4.64 → 4.64	Pinn 4.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:31	1.71	3.91	4.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Saint Gilloise 4–1–1 Anderlecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Union Saint Gilloise	5-1 HT 4-0	Anderlecht
14/05/26 Belgium Cup	Union Saint Gilloise	1-1 HT 0-0	Anderlecht
26/04/26 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	1-3 HT 1-2	Union Saint Gilloise
30/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	1-0 HT 1-0	Union Saint Gilloise
31/08/25 Belgium First Division A	Union Saint Gilloise	2-0 HT 1-0	Anderlecht
10/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	0-1 HT 0-1	Union Saint Gilloise

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge	3	3	0	0	7	0	9
2	Charleroi	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Zulte-Waregem	3	2	1	0	6	1	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	1	0	9	5	7
5	Gent	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
6	Standard Liege	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
7	Union Saint Gilloise	2	1	1	0	5	1	4
8	Lommel	3	1	1	1	5	2	4
9	Genk	3	1	1	1	8	8	4
10	Anderlecht	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
11	SK Beveren	3	1	0	2	2	6	3
12	Sint-Truidense	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
13	Cercle Brugge	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
14	KV Mechelen	3	0	1	2	3	7	1
15	RAAL La Louviere	3	0	0	3	2	6	0
16	OH Leuven	2	0	0	2	1	6	0
17	KV Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	0	6	0
18	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	3	12	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Union Saint Gilloise	Anderlecht
Gent	0-0 D	1-1 D
Club Brugge	0-5 L	1-3 L
KV Mechelen	3-0 W	2-2 D
Sint-Truidense	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Anderlecht (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Saint Gilloise

WDWLWLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
08/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	5-1	5	3	W
24/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	4-0	5-1	4	5	W
21/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
17/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
10/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
02/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
26/04	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	2-1	3-1	3	6	W
22/04	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
19/04	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	3	8	W

Anderlecht

WLLLDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
09/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	10	5	W
24/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-4	1-5	1	5	L
21/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-1	8	4	W
17/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
10/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	2	6	D
03/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-3	8	4	L
26/04	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-3	4	6	L
23/04	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	7	3	L
18/04	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	3	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Saint Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Saint Gilloise win (49%). Probabilities: Union Saint Gilloise 49%, draw 25%, Anderlecht 25%.

How many goals are expected in Union Saint Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

The model expects 3.03 goals (Union Saint Gilloise 1.79 · Anderlecht 1.23), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Saint Gilloise vs Anderlecht?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.