Football · Belgium First Division A · 20/09, 18:30

Prediction: Club Brugge vs Genk

Team pages: Club Brugge · Genk

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Club Brugge2.01

Genk1.38

1X2

51% 23% 25%

Club Brugge Draw Genk

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Brugge 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWWLWW

Genk 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DDWDLWDWDD

Head-to-head

Club Brugge 5–1–0 Genk (6 last)

Genk3-5Club Brugge
Club Brugge2-1Genk
Genk0-2Club Brugge
Club Brugge1-0Genk
Genk1-1Club Brugge
Club Brugge2-1Genk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Brugge (rating 1560 vs 1520).
H2H favours Club Brugge: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Brugge	Genk
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 7.6	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.3	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.94

Under 3.251.89

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:28

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.50
X	4.72 → 4.72	Pinn 4.72
2	5.59 → 5.59	Pinn 5.59

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:42 +285’	1.50	4.72	5.59

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Brugge 5–1–0 Genk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/12/25 Belgium First Division A	Genk	3-5 HT 1-3	Club Brugge
27/07/25 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	2-1 HT 0-1	Genk
11/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Genk	0-2 HT 0-1	Club Brugge
13/04/25 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	1-0 HT 0-0	Genk
05/02/25 Belgium Cup	Genk	1-1 HT 1-1	Club Brugge
15/01/25 Belgium Cup	Club Brugge	2-1 HT 1-1	Genk

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Saint Gilloise	6	5	1	0	19	3	16
2	Gent	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
4	Charleroi	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
5	Zulte-Waregem	6	3	2	1	10	4	11
6	Standard Liege	6	3	2	1	12	10	11
7	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	4	5	10
8	SK Beveren	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	13	9	9
10	Sint-Truidense	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	11	13	7
12	Lommel	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Westerlo	6	2	1	3	13	16	7
14	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
15	Cercle Brugge	6	0	3	3	6	11	3
16	KV Mechelen	6	0	2	4	5	14	2
17	OH Leuven	6	0	1	5	3	13	1
18	KV Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	1	15	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Brugge	Genk
Antwerp	3-1 W	4-4 D
Gent	1-2 L	1-1 D
OH Leuven	3-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Club Brugge (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Brugge

WWDWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	3-1	9	6	W
04/09	Lommel Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
30/08	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-2	5	9	L
23/08	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
15/08	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	16	0	W
07/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
24/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	3-0	5-0	5	1	W
21/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
17/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	3-0	5-0	6	3	W
09/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	6	2	W

Genk

DDWDLWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
06/09	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
28/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
22/08	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	4	2	D
15/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	2-2	3-2	8	6	W
09/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
31/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
23/05	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
19/05	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
16/05	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Brugge vs Genk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Brugge win (51%). Probabilities: Club Brugge 51%, draw 23%, Genk 25%.

How many goals are expected in Club Brugge vs Genk?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Club Brugge 2.01 · Genk 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Brugge vs Genk?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.