Football · Belgium First Division A · 20/09, 13:30

Prediction: Antwerp vs Union Saint Gilloise

Team pages: Antwerp · Union Saint Gilloise

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Antwerp1.24

Union Saint Gilloise1.81

1X2

25% 25% 50%

Antwerp Draw Union Saint Gilloise

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Antwerp 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWDLLL

Union Saint Gilloise 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLDWWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Antwerp 1–1–4 Union Saint Gilloise (6 last)

Union Saint Gilloise2-1Antwerp
Antwerp1-1Union Saint Gilloise
Antwerp0-4Union Saint Gilloise
Union Saint Gilloise5-1Antwerp
Antwerp5-1Union Saint Gilloise
Union Saint Gilloise2-1Antwerp

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Saint Gilloise (rating 1476 vs 1617).
H2H favours Union Saint Gilloise: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Antwerp	Union Saint Gilloise
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.7	2.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.8	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.89

Under 2.51.94

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	5.08 → 5.08	Pinn 5.08
X	4.04 → 4.04	Pinn 4.04
2	1.64 → 1.64	Pinn 1.64

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:22 +181’	5.08	4.04	1.64

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Antwerp 1–1–4 Union Saint Gilloise

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Belgium First Division A	Union Saint Gilloise	2-1 HT 1-0	Antwerp
25/07/25 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	1-1 HT 1-0	Union Saint Gilloise
17/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	0-4 HT 0-3	Union Saint Gilloise
29/03/25 Belgium First Division A	Union Saint Gilloise	5-1 HT 3-1	Antwerp
08/01/25 Belgium Cup	Antwerp	5-1 HT 1-0	Union Saint Gilloise
01/12/24 Belgium First Division A	Union Saint Gilloise	2-1 HT 1-1	Antwerp

Standings · Belgium First Division A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Saint Gilloise	6	5	1	0	19	3	16
2	Gent	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
4	Charleroi	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
5	Zulte-Waregem	6	3	2	1	10	4	11
6	Standard Liege	6	3	2	1	12	10	11
7	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	4	5	10
8	SK Beveren	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	13	9	9
10	Sint-Truidense	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	11	13	7
12	Lommel	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Westerlo	6	2	1	3	13	16	7
14	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
15	Cercle Brugge	6	0	3	3	6	11	3
16	KV Mechelen	6	0	2	4	5	14	2
17	OH Leuven	6	0	1	5	3	13	1
18	KV Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	1	15	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Antwerp	Union Saint Gilloise
Club Brugge	1-3 L	0-5 L
Sint-Truidense	1-4 L	3-0 W
Westerlo	2-0 W	5-1 W
Charleroi	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Union Saint Gilloise (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Antwerp

LLDWWWDLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
30/08	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-4	6	4	L
22/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	5	2	D
15/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
09/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
23/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
19/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/05	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	11	2	L
10/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	5	L

Union Saint Gilloise

WLDWWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Lommel Belgium First Division A	2-0	5-0	6	2	W
05/09	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	2-2	3-2	7	3	W
02/09	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
30/08	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
15/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
08/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	5-1	5	3	W
24/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	4-0	5-1	4	5	W
21/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
17/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	10	3	L
10/05	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Antwerp vs Union Saint Gilloise?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Saint Gilloise win (50%). Probabilities: Antwerp 25%, draw 25%, Union Saint Gilloise 50%.

How many goals are expected in Antwerp vs Union Saint Gilloise?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Antwerp 1.24 · Union Saint Gilloise 1.81), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Antwerp vs Union Saint Gilloise?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.