Football · Belgium First Division A · 18/09, 20:45

Prediction: Gent vs Standard Liege

Team pages: Gent · Standard Liege

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.51Total

Gent1.72

Standard Liege0.79

1X2

58% 26% 16%

Gent Draw Standard Liege

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Gent 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDDLDWWWWW

Standard Liege 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDDWWWL

Head-to-head

Gent 6–0 Standard Liege (6 last)

Standard Liege0-4Gent
Gent4-0Standard Liege
Standard Liege0-1Gent
Gent5-0Standard Liege
Standard Liege1-4Gent
Gent5-1Standard Liege

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gent (rating 1590 vs 1506).
H2H favours Gent: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gent	Standard Liege
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	2.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.4	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.81

Under 2.252.05

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 21:50

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.87 → 1.89▲	Pinn 1.89
X	3.56 → 3.57▲	Pinn 3.57
2	4.03 → 4.09▲	Pinn 4.09

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +17’	1.87	3.56	4.03
17:14 +103’	1.88▲	3.61▲	4.08▲
20:44 +66’	1.89▲	3.57▼	4.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gent 6–0–0 Standard Liege

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Belgium First Division A	Standard Liege	0-4 HT 0-2	Gent
25/10/25 Belgium First Division A	Gent	4-0 HT 3-0	Standard Liege
22/12/24 Belgium First Division A	Standard Liege	0-1 HT 0-0	Gent
10/11/24 Belgium First Division A	Gent	5-0 HT 2-0	Standard Liege
18/05/24 Belgium First Division A	Standard Liege	1-4 HT 1-1	Gent
29/03/24 Belgium First Division A	Gent	5-1 HT 1-1	Standard Liege

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Union Saint Gilloise	6	5	1	0	19	3	16
2	Gent	6	5	1	0	11	3	16
3	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	12	3	15
4	Charleroi	6	5	0	1	12	5	15
5	Zulte-Waregem	6	3	2	1	10	4	11
6	Standard Liege	6	3	2	1	12	10	11
7	Anderlecht	6	3	1	2	4	5	10
8	SK Beveren	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	13	9	9
10	Sint-Truidense	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	11	13	7
12	Lommel	6	2	1	3	6	8	7
13	Westerlo	6	2	1	3	13	16	7
14	RAAL La Louviere	6	1	1	4	7	12	4
15	Cercle Brugge	6	0	3	3	6	11	3
16	KV Mechelen	6	0	2	4	5	14	2
17	OH Leuven	6	0	1	5	3	13	1
18	KV Kortrijk	6	0	0	6	1	15	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gent	Standard Liege
Cercle Brugge	3-0 W	2-2 D
OH Leuven	1-0 W	2-1 W
RAAL La Louviere	2-1 W	2-0 W
KV Mechelen	2-0 W	3-3 D
Genk	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Gent (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gent

DDDLDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	0	1	W
03/09	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
30/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	1	9	W
16/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
31/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
24/05	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-3	0-5	8	1	L
21/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
16/05	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-1	3	1	D
10/05	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-1	4	6	D

Standard Liege

WDWLDDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-4	7	0	L
05/09	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	13	3	W
29/08	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
21/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
16/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-1	3-3	2	2	D
08/08	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
23/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	6	8	L
19/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-1	1	5	W
16/05	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
08/05	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gent vs Standard Liege?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gent win (58%). Probabilities: Gent 58%, draw 26%, Standard Liege 16%.

How many goals are expected in Gent vs Standard Liege?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Gent 1.72 · Standard Liege 0.79), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Gent vs Standard Liege?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.