Prediction: Hamilton vs Peterhead
Team pages: Hamilton · Peterhead
- Peterhead0-1Hamilton
- Hamilton3-1Peterhead
- Peterhead2-3Hamilton
- Hamilton3-0Peterhead
- Peterhead2-2Hamilton
| Hamilton | Draw | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 19% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hamilton (rating 1614 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Hamilton: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hamilton | Peterhead | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.7 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 4.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamilton 4–1–0 Peterhead
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/26 Scotland League Cup | Peterhead | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Hamilton |
| 25/04/26 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Peterhead |
| 17/01/26 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Hamilton |
| 08/11/25 Scotland League One | Hamilton | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Peterhead |
| 13/09/25 Scotland League One | Peterhead | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Hamilton |
Standings · Scotland League One
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ross County | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 19 |
| 2 | Hamilton | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 19 |
| 3 | Montrose | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 4 | East Kilbride | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | Alloa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Airdrieonians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 9 |
| 7 | East Fife | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Peterhead | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 9 | Cove Rangers | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 5 |
| 10 | Queen of South | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hamilton | Peterhead |
|---|---|---|
| Queen of South | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| East Kilbride | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Cove Rangers | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| East Fife | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Airdrieonians | 4-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Alloa | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Montrose | 5-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamilton (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hamilton
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
3-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Montrose Scotland League One |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Inverness CT Scotland League One |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Peterhead Scotland League One |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Montrose Scotland League One |
1-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 1 | W |
Peterhead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Airdrieonians Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | East Kilbride Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Montrose Scotland League One |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Alloa Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Cove Rangers Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | East Fife Scotland League One |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Queen of South Scotland League One |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Ross County Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Kelty Hearts Scotland League One |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Hamilton Scotland League One |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hamilton vs Peterhead?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Hamilton win (71%). Probabilities: Hamilton 71%, draw 20%, Peterhead 9%.
How many goals are expected in Hamilton vs Peterhead?
The model expects 2.65 goals (Hamilton 2.06 · Peterhead 0.59), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Hamilton vs Peterhead?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.