Football · Scotland League One · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Queen of South vs Cove Rangers

Team pages: Queen of South · Cove Rangers

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.62Total
Queen of South1.35
Cove Rangers1.27
1X2
38% 27% 35%
Queen of South Draw Cove Rangers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Queen of South 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DWLLLLWDLL
Cove Rangers 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDDLLWLDLL
Head-to-head
Queen of South 2–3–1 Cove Rangers (6 last)
  • Queen of South2-0Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers1-1Queen of South
  • Queen of South1-1Cove Rangers
  • Cove Rangers0-2Queen of South
  • Cove Rangers2-1Queen of South
  • Queen of South0-0Cove Rangers
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Queen of South 1470 · Cove Rangers 1506
Queen of SouthDrawCove Rangers
Our model38%29%34%
Market39%26%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Queen of South: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Queen of SouthCove Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 2.70.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 1.30.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/30/70%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.2 / 3.21.4 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 03.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Queen of South 2–3–1 Cove Rangers

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/04/26
Scotland League One
Queen of South2-0
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers
07/02/26
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers1-1
HT 0-1
Queen of South
06/12/25
Scotland League One
Queen of South1-1
HT 0-1
Cove Rangers
02/08/25
Scotland League One
Cove Rangers0-2
HT 0-1
Queen of South
10/05/25
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
Cove Rangers2-1
HT 1-0
Queen of South
06/05/25
Scotland Championship Play-Offs
Queen of South0-0
HT 0-0
Cove Rangers

Standings · Scotland League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Ross County 7610 22419
2 Hamilton 7610 16119
3 Montrose 8503 131315
4 East Kilbride 8413 141213
5 Alloa 8233 869
6 Airdrieonians 8233 6119
7 East Fife 8152 778
8 Peterhead 8215 6147
9 Cove Rangers 8125 5115
10 Queen of South 8116 6244

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentQueen of SouthCove Rangers
Hamilton 1-4 L 0-1 L
Ross County 0-8 L 0-2 L
East Fife 1-1 D 0-2 L
Airdrieonians 2-1 W 0-0 D
Montrose 1-2 L 1-2 L
Alloa 0-2 L 1-1 D
Peterhead 0-1 L 3-0 W
East Kilbride 1-5 L 0-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 6 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Cove Rangers (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Queen of South

DWLLLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Hamilton
Scotland League One
1-3 1-4 02 L
15/09 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-2 0-8 24 L
12/09 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 1-1 47 D
05/09 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-1 2-1 –– W
29/08 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 37 L
22/08 Alloa
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 43 L
08/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 102 L
01/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
1-3 1-5 27 L
02/05 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-1 4-1 22 W
25/04 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 2-2 24 D

Cove Rangers

WDDLLWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 Ross County
Scotland League One
0-1 0-2 45 L
12/09 Montrose
Scotland League One
0-1 1-2 40 L
05/09 Alloa
Scotland League One
1-0 1-1 46 D
29/08 Hamilton
Scotland League One
0-1 0-1 33 L
22/08 Peterhead
Scotland League One
0-0 3-0 34 W
15/08 East Kilbride
Scotland League One
0-0 0-3 25 L
08/08 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-2 31 L
01/08 Airdrieonians
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 45 D
02/05 East Fife
Scotland League One
0-0 0-0 20 D
25/04 Kelty Hearts
Scotland League One
2-0 2-0 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Queen of South vs Cove Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Queen of South win (38%). Probabilities: Queen of South 38%, draw 27%, Cove Rangers 35%.

How many goals are expected in Queen of South vs Cove Rangers?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Queen of South 1.35 · Cove Rangers 1.27), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Queen of South vs Cove Rangers?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.