Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 25/10, 16:30

Prediction: Yverdon Sport FC vs Kriens

Team pages: Yverdon Sport FC · Kriens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Yverdon Sport FC2.05

Kriens1

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Yverdon Sport FC Draw Kriens

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Yverdon Sport FC 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWWLDW

Kriens 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWWDLDWD

Head-to-head

Yverdon Sport FC 5–1 Kriens (6 last)

Kriens0-2Yverdon Sport FC
Yverdon Sport FC3-2Kriens
Kriens0-3Yverdon Sport FC
Yverdon Sport FC2-0Kriens
Kriens0-2Yverdon Sport FC
Kriens2-1Yverdon Sport FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yverdon Sport FC 1591 · Kriens 1490

	Yverdon Sport FC	Draw	Kriens
Our model	61%	23%	17%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yverdon Sport FC (rating 1591 vs 1490).
H2H favours Yverdon Sport FC: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yverdon Sport FC	Kriens
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 05:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.53
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.62 ★
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:12 +13’	1.50	4.33	5.25
19:23 +12’	1.44▼	4.50▲	6.00▲
05:06 +18’	1.50▲	4.33▼	5.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:44 +337’	1.47	4.69	5.45
10:05 +14’	1.47▼	4.72▲	5.47▲
11:44 +43’	1.53▲	4.62▼	4.93▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yverdon Sport FC 5–0–1 Kriens

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/08/26 Switzerland Challenge League	Kriens	0-2 HT 0-1	Yverdon Sport FC
14/05/22 Switzerland Challenge League	Yverdon Sport FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Kriens
05/02/22 Switzerland Challenge League	Kriens	0-3 HT 0-0	Yverdon Sport FC
17/12/21 Switzerland Challenge League	Yverdon Sport FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Kriens
22/09/21 Switzerland Challenge League	Kriens	0-2 HT 0-1	Yverdon Sport FC
18/11/17 Switzerland 1.Liga Promotion	Kriens	2-1	Yverdon Sport FC

Standings · Switzerland Challenge League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	10	7	3	0	20	3	24
2	Yverdon Sport FC	10	5	4	1	16	9	19
3	Winterthur	10	5	3	2	19	11	18
4	Kriens	10	4	3	3	17	12	15
5	Neuchatel Xamax	10	5	0	5	15	17	15
6	Aarau	10	3	3	4	15	18	12
7	FC Rapperswil-Jona	10	3	1	6	15	19	10
8	Wil 1900	10	2	4	4	16	22	10
9	Etoile Carouge	10	2	3	5	8	14	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	10	1	2	7	8	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yverdon Sport FC	Kriens
Etoile Carouge	2-0 W	4-1 W
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	0-0 D	0-2 L
FC Rapperswil-Jona	0-2 L	1-1 D
Stade Nyonnais	4-1 W	3-0 W
Neuchatel Xamax	2-1 W	2-3 L
Wil 1900	1-1 D	1-1 D
Aarau	2-1 W	2-2 D
Winterthur	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yverdon Sport FC

DDWWDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
20/09	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
11/09	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	0-2	8	3	L
06/09	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	4-1	8	1	W
01/09	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	2-1	2	6	W
28/08	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-1	11	4	D
23/08	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	2-0	2-1	2	5	W
07/08	Kriens Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
31/07	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
24/07	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	2-2	4	4	D

Kriens

LWLWWDLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
18/09	Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League	2-1	4-1	3	5	W
12/09	Aarau Switzerland Challenge League	2-1	2-2	2	3	D
04/09	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
01/09	FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League	0-0	1-1	6	10	D
28/08	Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
22/08	Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
07/08	Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
31/07	Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
24/07	Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League	1-3	2-3	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yverdon Sport FC vs Kriens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yverdon Sport FC win (61%). Probabilities: Yverdon Sport FC 61%, draw 22%, Kriens 17%.

How many goals are expected in Yverdon Sport FC vs Kriens?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Yverdon Sport FC 2.05 · Kriens 1), with a 58% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yverdon Sport FC vs Kriens?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.