Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 24/10, 18:00
Prediction: Aarau vs Etoile Carouge
Team pages: Aarau · Etoile Carouge
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Aarau1.74
Etoile Carouge1.25
1X2
Aarau
Draw
Etoile Carouge
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Aarau
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Etoile Carouge
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aarau
4–2
Etoile Carouge
(6 last)
- Etoile Carouge3-0Aarau
- Aarau1-3Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge0-3Aarau
- Aarau2-1Etoile Carouge
- Etoile Carouge1-3Aarau
- Etoile Carouge1-3Aarau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aarau: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aarau | Etoile Carouge | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aarau 4–0–2 Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Aarau |
| 07/04/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Etoile Carouge |
| 06/03/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Aarau |
| 12/12/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Etoile Carouge |
| 26/09/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Aarau |
| 16/05/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Etoile Carouge | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Aarau |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon Sport FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Neuchatel Xamax | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 8 | Wil 1900 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 10 |
| 9 | Etoile Carouge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aarau | Etoile Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Nyonnais | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Winterthur | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Kriens | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Wil 1900 | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Neuchatel Xamax | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Aarau (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aarau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/07 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Etoile Carouge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 04/09 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 01/09 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aarau win (48%). Probabilities: Aarau 48%, draw 26%, Etoile Carouge 26%.
How many goals are expected in Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Aarau 1.74 · Etoile Carouge 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aarau vs Etoile Carouge?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.