Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 30/10, 20:15
Prediction: Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau
Team pages: Neuchatel Xamax · Aarau
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Neuchatel Xamax1.77
Aarau1.41
1X2
Neuchatel Xamax
Draw
Aarau
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Neuchatel Xamax
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Aarau
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Neuchatel Xamax
0–1–5
Aarau
(6 last)
- Aarau2-1Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-3Aarau
- Aarau1-0Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-2Aarau
- Aarau2-0Neuchatel Xamax
- Neuchatel Xamax1-1Aarau
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Aarau: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Neuchatel Xamax | Aarau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Neuchatel Xamax 0–1–5 Aarau
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 01/05/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Aarau |
| 21/03/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 28/11/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Aarau |
| 09/08/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Aarau | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Neuchatel Xamax |
| 11/04/25 Switzerland Challenge League | Neuchatel Xamax | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Aarau |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 21 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Neuchatel Xamax | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 12 |
| 7 | Etoile Carouge | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
| 8 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 9 | Wil 1900 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 11 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Neuchatel Xamax | Aarau |
|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Winterthur | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 0-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Stade Nyonnais | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Etoile Carouge | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Wil 1900 | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Neuchatel Xamax (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Neuchatel Xamax
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/10 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 18/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 04/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 21/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Aarau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/10 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 04/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/08 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Neuchatel Xamax win (45%). Probabilities: Neuchatel Xamax 45%, draw 25%, Aarau 30%.
How many goals are expected in Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Neuchatel Xamax 1.77 · Aarau 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Neuchatel Xamax vs Aarau?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.