Football · Switzerland Challenge League · 23/10, 20:15
Prediction: Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais
Team pages: Winterthur · Stade Nyonnais
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Winterthur2.43
Stade Nyonnais1.25
1X2
Winterthur
Draw
Stade Nyonnais
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Winterthur
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Stade Nyonnais
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Winterthur
0–1–0
Stade Nyonnais
(1 last)
- Stade Nyonnais2-2Winterthur
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Winterthur (rating 1546 vs 1424).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Winterthur | Stade Nyonnais | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 0/30/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 0.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Winterthur 0–1–0 Stade Nyonnais
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Switzerland Challenge League | Stade Nyonnais | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Winterthur |
Standings · Switzerland Challenge League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon Sport FC | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Winterthur | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Kriens | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 15 |
| 5 | Neuchatel Xamax | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 15 |
| 6 | Aarau | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 8 | Wil 1900 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 22 | 10 |
| 9 | Etoile Carouge | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Winterthur | Stade Nyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Neuchatel Xamax | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Aarau | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Etoile Carouge | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Wil 1900 | 5-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Kriens | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Yverdon Sport FC | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Winterthur (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Winterthur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/09 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/09 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 04/09 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Stade Nyonnais Switzerland Challenge League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/07 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Stade Nyonnais
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/09 | Wil 1900 Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Neuchatel Xamax Switzerland Challenge League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Yverdon Sport FC Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/09 | Winterthur Switzerland Challenge League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 28/08 | Kriens Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Etoile Carouge Switzerland Challenge League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Aarau Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 31/07 | FC Rapperswil-Jona Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 24/07 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Switzerland Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Winterthur win (63%). Probabilities: Winterthur 63%, draw 20%, Stade Nyonnais 18%.
How many goals are expected in Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model expects 3.69 goals (Winterthur 2.43 · Stade Nyonnais 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Winterthur vs Stade Nyonnais?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.